If literature has a social function, it is, perhaps, to show man his optimal parameters, his spiritual maximum. On that score, the metaphysical man of Dostoyevsky’s novels is of greater value than [Mr. Kundera’s] wounded rationalist, however modern and however common.
- Joseph Brodsky, 1985
The ancient Greeks had Homer's Iliad and Odyssey, the Arabs have the Koran, we have the novels of Tolstoy and Dostoevsky.
It is impossible to find another path to the pithy understanding of moral-philosophic problems than the one that passes through the Russian classics.
- Yury Davydov, 1982
Rather than regard Tolstoy and Dostoevsky as polar opposites, Davydov stresses their common Russian morality, using 'Russian' as a codeword for 'Christian'.
- Bernice Glatzer Rosenthal,1994
Saturday, April 29, 2017
Friday, April 28, 2017
Metaphysical Man
Ilya Kabakov: The Metaphysical Man |
Looking around for a concise survey of new Russian writing, I was at first at something of a loss: it's hard to get one's bearings amid the proliferation of new names that have appeared in the book market since the end of the Soviet Union. The names of the fiction authors - Akunin, Bitov, Pelevin, Shishkin, Davydov, Tolstaya - are familiar, of course, but many others remain unknown to me, especially among the poets. I was surprised and pleased to read a recent interview with the critic, poet and linguist Ilya Kukulin, published in the online journal Contemporary Russian Literature, which gives an extraordinarily clear and detailed account of the main trends in contemporary Russian literature.
I think one of the reasons why I've delayed making my acquaintance with this new Parnassus has been my dislike of literary postmodernism, which seems to be particularly favoured by the newer generation of Russian authors. To me, the postmodernist 'perpetual present tense' is an evasion of the writer's task of exploring history and memory - the flattening and erasure of time is something that's hostile to the very act of creation. It was therefore with some interest that I came across Kukulin's thoughts on the development of post-Soviet literature, where postmodernism acquires a rather different meaning from that accorded to it in the West. In Kukulin's opinion, Russian postmodernism began in the 1960s:
...the first Russian postmodernist literary works were Venedikt Erofeev’s Moscow-Petushki and Pushkinskii Dom by Andrei Bitov at the end of the 60s; the roots of Russian postmodernism could be traced back to the works of Daniil Kharms (1905–1942), or to the poems of his friend Alexander Vvedensky (1904–1941), or to radical experimental prose written by Pavel Ulitin (1918–1986) in the 50s, 60s and 70s. His works could be compared, say, with the novels of William S. Burroughs.In Kukulin's view, postmodernism was for Russian writers and poets a way to confront the looming mass and blind alley of Soviet literature, which he characterises as "a large-scale system of social and psychological programming". Instead of blocking and dechronologizing the past, Russian postmodernism opened up channels that connected it to the uncensored literature of the Soviet period, the writing that was done in spite of the censor yet with a self-censored knowledge of what was possible and sayable: Kukulin likens it to the American counter-culture of the late 1950s and 1960s, the 'beat generation'. Russian authors found ways to deconstruct the ideological language of Soviet literature and navigate ways around it. This in turn led through to the earlier past - and although Kukulin doesn't mention them by name, there seems little doubt that it was the past of the Russian Silver Age, and of poets like Mandelstam, Pasternak, Tsvetaeva and Akhmatova. In an epigraph, Kukulin's interview is given its key and tenor by a paragraph from an essay by Joseph Brodsky:
If literature has a social function, it is, perhaps, to show man his optimal parameters, his spiritual maximum. On that score, the metaphysical man of Dostoyevsky’s novels is of greater value than (Mr. Kundera’s) wounded rationalist, however modern and however common.Above all, Kukulin thinks, Russian postmodernism does not include the work of Zakhar Prilepin. Nor is Prilepin, in his opinion, the heir to the Russian classical prose tradition -- instead, he is "one of the brightest representatives of the revival of Soviet literature’s stereotypes at the current stage" - he is a Soviet writer, one who has accepted and internalised the moral nihilism that is often, paradoxically, considered a characteristic of postmodernists. Prilepin is intent upon reviving the nihilism of Soviet literature:
According to this novel [The Abode: Obitel'], human life has aesthetic meaning, but not ethical. In my opinion, it is breaking with the traditions of Russian literature of the 19th century, if we will interpret them, say, due to the essays of the great philosopher Isaiah Berlin. In Prilepin’s novels, moral reflections are devaluated.As Kukulin notes, the most successful modern 'thick novels' (a genre to which Russians are accustomed to turning in order to confront psychological insights and truths) are not the ones that adopt a mimicking and recreation of Russian prose classics, but those that engage in a dialogue with contemporary Western fiction. Asked for a list of important novels of the 2000s, Kukulin mentions the following:
Bestseller by Yury Davydov
Maidenhair (Venerin volos) and A Letter Book (Pismovnik) by Mikhail Shishkin
The novels and short stories of Vladimir Sorokin.
Poluostrov Zhidyatin (The Zhidyatin Peninsula), Novy Golem ili Voina starikov i detei (New Golem, or, The War of the Old Folk with the Children), and the final part, Vineta by Oleg Yuriev
Velikaya strana (2009) by Leonid Kostyukov ("the funniest work ever written about America by a Russian author; unfortunately it’s almost untranslatable, because its language plays with the differences between English and Russian languages.")
The prose of Maria Boteva
Alexander Goldstein's Spokoinye polya (The Quiet Fields)
Among poets:
Mikhail Eremin (whom I met in Moscow in the winter of 1969, and who translated some of my poems into Russian DM). Mikhail Ayzenberg (tr. Jim Kates, with whom I worked on STAND magazine, U.K. in 1979-80 DM), George Dashevsky, Stanislav Lvovsky, Elena Fanailova, Maria Stepanova, Linor Goralik, Polina Barskova, Eugenia Lavut, Olga Zondberg, Finally, Sergey Zavyalov, Alexander Skidan.Lada Chizhova, Eugenia Suslova, Nikita Sungatov and Nikita Safonov.
Thursday, April 27, 2017
Chechnya - Image and Reality 2
It is surely not necessary to remind readers that the Chechen people have only very recently emerged from two prolonged genocidal assaults inflicted on them by their Russian neighbour. These assaults having failed in their purpose, the Kremlin is now evidently keen to engage in a different kind of war, a war of smears and innuendo. By projecting an image of the Chechens as homophobic, the Kremlin is attempting to draw the attention of Western liberals away from its own catastrophic deficiencies towards a different target, one that can also be shared conveniently under the banner of the 'war on terror'.
In my post I mentioned timing. The timing of the reports was cynical because this issue emerged into the daylight at a time when Russia and America were increasingly in close - if controversial - contact with each other. Americans had begun to turn their attention to Russia and to take an interest in what happens there. So the Kremlin evidently felt a need to underline its position on Chechnya, Islamism and the 'war on terror' by unleashing a campaign to smear Chechnya in the minds of American liberals. It's an old tactic, and it probably works.
Chechnya has a noble and resilient culture that was admired by several nineteenth-century Russian authors, including Lermontov and Tolstoy. To dismiss this as being far away and in another galaxy is wrong, in my opinion - Chechnya has its own history and time frame, and the fact that its legitimate government has been exiled, and its population taken hostage by an irrelevant Kremlin-backed thug, a bandit, is something that is actual, not superannuated. Tolstoy would understand the present situation well, and would not be surprised by it.
The irrelevance of Kadyrov lies in his illegitimacy - he is only a puppet, and his authority is based on threats and intimidation. The Chechen people are better than Kadyrov, and in the right conditions are able to produce authentic leaders of the calibre of Dudayev, Maskhadov and Zakayev. That these leaders are routinely slaughtered by the Russians is not the fault of the Chechens.
It's high time that Western journalists stopped swallowing the Kremlin's propaganda. Homophobia, though prevalent, is probably not much more widespread in Chechnya than in other regions of Central Asia, and indeed in Russia itself. It might be useful if a few journalists were to interview Akhmed Zakayev, the legitimate leader of Ichkeria (the Chechen name for Chechnya), who now lives in London, and seek his views on the real reasons for the current anti-Chechen campaign.
Chechnya - Image and Reality
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Tuesday, April 25, 2017
A Baker’s Dozen of Neglected Russian Stories – No. 78
A new Russian robot called FEDOR can shoot with both hands. Photo via @Rogozin |
Staunton, VA, April 14, 2017 - The flood of news stories from a country
as large, diverse and strange as the Russian Federation often appears to be is
far too large for anyone to keep up with. But there needs to be a way to mark
those which can’t be discussed in detail but which are too indicative of
broader developments to ignore.
Consequently, Windows on Eurasia presents a selection of
13 of these other and typically neglected stories at the end of each week. This
is the 78th such compilation. It is only suggestive and far from complete –
indeed, once again, one could have put out such a listing every day -- but
perhaps one or more of these stories will prove of broader interest.
1. Putin’s Election Program – Promise Massive Change But Keep
Everything the Same. The post-Crimea consensus having collapsed,
and repression having ceased to intimidate and begun to anger Russians, Vladimir
Putin has no choice but to promise massive change when he runs for re-election
to keep himself in power and thus everything just the same, Moscow commentators say. This week,
commentators laid particular stress on three problems facing the Kremlin
leader: he is trying to act internationally as if Russia had 22 percent of the
world’s GDP and not the two percent it does
have, popular culture including new cartoon film is narrowing the
distance between Putin and his boyars, thus undercutting the assumption that Russians will always support the former as a check on the latter,
and Putin’s talk about not allowing color revolutions in Russia and the former
Soviet space has called attention to a risk that he earlier refused to discuss and raised concerns about what may in
fact happen next.
2. Trump has Betrayed Russia to Escape Impeachment, Moscow
Commentator Says. Maksim Shevchenko says that the only reason
Donald Trump did not live up to Moscow’s expectations for better relations
between the US and Russia was to avoid being impeached and
removed from office by the American establishment. But some Russians
think the US president won’t be able to escape that fate: LDPR leader Vladimir
Zhirinovsky who hosted a champagne celebration on Trump’s election now says
that he will drink champagne when Trump is impeached. Vladimir Putin has
suggested relations with Washington have been degraded since Trump took
office, but some analysts near the Kremlin say that they still expect Trump to deliver on his
election promises. Other Russians are just angry: some are now blaming Trump rather than Barack
Obama for the fact that they aren’t getting their pensions, and
a group of Cossacks in St. Petersburg has decided to strip Trump of
his rank of esaul in their unit because of his bad behavior toward Russia. But perhaps the most interesting
observation about Trump from Moscow this week came from one writer who said that Trump’s reaction to the
gas attack in Syria shows that he has a heart, an organ that he suggested Putin
lacks.
3. Could Concerns about Inflation Save Russia from Repressive
Yarovaya Laws? Some commentators have pointed out that if the
Yarovaya package of repressive measures is enforced, that will cost Moscow some 4.5
trillion rubles (US $75 billion), an amount that could threaten to trigger a new
round of higher inflation. Meanwhile, the last week brought another
harvest of bad economic news: Russia’s foreign debt is up dramatically, capital
flight doubled from the first quarter of 2016 to the first
three months of 2017, officials said that as a result of sanctions,
Russia can no longer produce its own large gas
turbines, one
commentator has offered advice on “how to make money in Russia and stay alive
while doing so”, corruption has assumed a new form in Russia – it is
so much a part of the system that corruption in the usual sense hardly exists anymore,
losses from financial crimes in Russia
in 2016 were the largest ever, and experts say that the real level
of poverty among Russians is now twice as high as the government
says.
4. Social Problems Multiply Exponentially. Despite
Dmitry Medvedev’s latest entry in the Marie Antoinette sweepstakes by saying
that banning Western produces makes Russian life better,
the problems Russians face in their daily lives are increasing at a staggering
rate. Among the bad news in this sector in the last week alone are the
following stories: At present, one hospital is closing every
day in the Russian Federation and other medical facilities are
being cut back at almost the same rate. As a result, one in four Russians isn’t
getting needed medical help. But
there is little likelihood that the medical situation will improve soon.
According to the Moscow times, Russian doctors are now paid less than Russian fast
food workers. Moscow’s pro-natalist policies have exhausted
themselves, experts say, and now even millionaire cities are
beginning to see their populations decline. As for entertainment, Russians face a bleaker
future: charter flights to Turkey may be stopped,
and while more vodka is being produced, prices for it are going up.
One thing that Russian authorities are doing to promote domestic tourism: they
are making low-cost prostitution services an integral
part of their programs for resorts. Young
Russians are increasingly unhappy about life in their country, and so the Kremlin has decided to address the problem by creating its own new bureaucracy to deal
with it. With the spread of gun ownership, mass poaching is now a serious problem in the Russian North. Because
their pensions are so small, ever more elderly Russians are going back into
the workforce. And at
the same time, more Central Asian and Caucasian labor migrants are leaving
Russia but Russians aren’t taking their jobs because they don’t want to occupy such unskilled and
low-paying positions, a new study finds.
5. Ethnic Tensions Increase Across Russia. Reports
suggest that ethnic antagonisms between
Russians and non-Russians are on the rise and not just tensions among
non-Russians as was largely the case earlier and. In ordering
Moscow to pay compensation to the victims of the Beslan disaster, the European
Human Rights Court sharply criticized the Russian government for
its handling of ethnic relations. Chechen officials attacked Novaya gazeta for its coverage of
Grozny’s repression of gays and
threatened them with physical reprisals, leading the Kremlin to denounce
that and other media outlets to come to Novaya’s defense. In
addition, a Duma committee rejected the idea of allowing federal subject courts
to rule on extremism; only federal courts can do
that, it said, another sign that popular tensions are having official
consequences. But there was one piece of good news:
longtime and much-hated Mari El governor Leonid Markelov was not only fired but has been charged with massive corruption.
6. Protests on All Kinds of Issues Spread as Officials Try to Contain
Them. In addition to the
long-haul truckers strike and the fallout from the March 26 Navalny
anti-corruption protests, Russian citizens went in the street to
protest all manner of things, from access to education in Tomsk to
living conditions in Yakutsk to workers who haven’t been paid since 2015. Under
pressure from the Kremlin officials have used all manner of means to block or
isolate these protests. In Dagestan, for example, officials are rejecting
applications for protest meetings by invoking the terrorist threat they say
such meetings present.
7. Student at Russian Military Academy Arrested on Suspicion of
Planning to Divert Guns to Terrorists. Russian police arrested a
student at the military academy in St. Petersburg on suspicion that he was seeking to seize arms held at
that facility and divert them to terrorists. That was not the only security news
this week: Reports surfaced about dedovshchina and
corruption as continuing problems in the Russian armed services, Russian
scientists have developed a robot and the first thing they have taught it to do is
to shoot a gun, and
one Moscow commentator pointed out that in any new cold war, Russia have not
have any allies, leaving it far more at risk than was the former Soviet
Union.
8. Two Really Frightening Messages about War from Moscow. Two
Moscow commentaries this week are truly scary: The first in reacting to calls
for an investigation of the gas attacks in Syria points out that World War I
began with calls for an investigation of a terrorist attack, the
killing of Archduke Franz Ferdinand, implying that looking into the Syrian
matter could have similar consequences. And the second suggested that for
Russia, despite all the suffering it would experience, a nuclear war has
certain “pluses,” the kind of talk that makes it easier for leaders
to think they can fight and win a nuclear exchange.
9. Monuments Conflicts Continue to Spark Social Activism in Russia. One
commentator suggests that he would welcome a decision by the Russian government
to hand back even more churches to the Moscow Patriarchate because public opposition to such moves would help
build civil society. There
are certainly enough churches left to do so, with some 5,000 now falling
apart. St. Isaac’s in St.
Petersburg is slated to be handed over to the Orthodox Church on July 12,
despite continuing opposition. But the government may
slow down this process less to meet public complaints
than because of the expense: the
Russian Orthodox Church has asked the state to give it 13 billion rubles (US
$200 million) to rebuild churches, but the authorities are only prepared to
give 2.9 billion (US $50 million). Other news this week from the monuments
front includes Polish charges that the Russian government is now doing what the
Soviet regime did at Khatyn by falsifying the list of who was
killed there. Activists plan to erect a statue to the
1920-21 Tambov peasant uprising, Moscow is planning a memorial to the victims of World War I. Activists are
collecting money to erect in the Russian
capital a statue to the victims of Stalin’s repressions, Moscow says it will move the statue of Gorky back to where
it stood in Soviet times and will put up a statue to
Aleksandr Solzhenitsyn as well.
10. Work on Rostov Stadium for 2018 World Cup Stopped Because ‘There
is No Money.” Officials say they have no funds to
continue working on the modernization of the soccer stadium in Rostov that was supposed to be one of the venues for
the scheduled 2018 World Cup competition in Russia. Meanwhile, despite more violence at football matches in
Russia this year, Moscow officials promised there would not be any clashes when
the World Cup matches take place in their country. They
also continued to lash out at the WADA for its
investigations on the doping program in Russia.
11. ‘Jewish-Masonic Conspiracy’ Thinking Making a Comeback in Russia. Ever
more commentators and media outlets have revived the notion of “a Jewish-Masonic conspiracy” as the force behind the Russian revolutions of
1917 and all of Russia’s misfortunes since then. That tsarist-era
staple of those given to conspiracy thinking has been joined recently by talk
about “a deep state” on the model some have suggested exists in the United
States and opposes Donald Trump. In the Russian version, the deep state consists or and is a weapon for
liberals domestic and foreign.
12. Can Moscow Narrow ‘Think Tank Gap’? Russian
commentators argue that one of the reasons Western governments do a better job
in addressing many issues is that they have the assistance of experts in think
tanks who can speak more freely than government employees usually can. These
commentators bemoan the fact that Russia does not have a large think tank
community and urge that
the government get involved in creating one. A recent meeting of the
Higher School of Economics and Russian officials suggest that there is a
possibility that Russia can move in that direction given that the independent
scholars felt free to criticize officials and the regime in the harshest terms
and the officials sat quietly and took it.
13. Russians Get Porno Site Back but May Lose Facebook. The
Russian government agency which regulates the Russian Internet has unblocked the Pornhub site,
but a Duma deputy has called for banning access to Facebook in Russia, a clear indication of the Kremlin’s
priorities and its assessment of just where the threats to its power come
from.
And six more from countries in Russia’s
neighborhood:
1. Moscow Sets Up Radar Site in Belarus. Minsk
has still refused to allow Moscow to open a military airbase on Belarusian
territory, but in an example of the Kremlin’s “creeping” advances, the Russian
military under cover of its current operation, West-2017, has set up a radar locator site there.
2. Part of Lithuania’s Hill of Crosses Burns. A small fire damaged an
estimated 600 of the
wooden memorials at Lithuania’s Hill of Crosses. No foul play is suspected at
that world heritage site near Siaulai where more than 400,000 crosses have been
erected by Lithuanians and their supporters over the years.
3. Ukrainian Remittances from Russia Home Said Larger than IMF Loans
and Foreign Investment. The more than a million Ukrainians
living in the Russian Federation are currently sending home more
money than the total of IMF loans and grants and direct foreign investment,
giving Moscow significant if often ignored leverage.
4. Russia will Not Take Part in or Broadcast Eurovision Competition
in Kyiv. The Ukrainian authorities refused to allow Russia’s candidate to take part in the Eurovision
competition in Kyiv this
year because she had violated Ukrainian law by visiting occupied Crimea and
making pro-Moscow declarations about it. Efforts to find a workaround have
failed, and Moscow has announced that it will not send anyone to participate in
the competition this year or cover it on Russian television.
5. Russia Violates International Law by Drafting 20 Crimeans into Its
Army. International law prohibits an occupying power from
compelling those living under its control to serve in the military. But Moscow,
which has routinely ignored international law in recent years, has violated
this provision as well by drafting approximately 20 young men from
Crimea this year.
6. Kyrgyzstan Closes Four of Its 106 Muslim Madrasas.
Saying that they want to prevent the spread of Islamist extremism, Bishkek has
closed four of the madrasas on its territory declaring that their curricula are
“incorrect.” At the same time, it has allowed 102 others to remain in operation.
They presumably are “correct”.
Published in Press-Stream April 14, 2017 in Publication Windows on Eurasia
Labels:
Paul Goble,
Russia,
The Interpreter,
Window on Eurasia
Monday, April 24, 2017
Wait and See
At the Power Vertical, Brian Whitmore takes a sanguine view of developments in 2017 so far:
It appears that, at least for the time being, that the populist wave may have crested and is receding.
And it also appears that Moscow's much-publicized meddling in Western elections is leading to greater vigilance in Europe.
Defending the Centre - 2
Emmanuel Macron’s success in the first round of the French presidential election leads one to speculate about the chances of a revival of centrism in Europe. While many mainstream media outlets are still plugging the ‘rise of extremism’ narrative, directing their attention and that of their readers to Marine Le Pen, the likelihood that the French electorate is starting to weary of the tensions provoked by the right wing seems to be growing.
Looking elsewhere in Europe, the prospect of such a change does not seem unrealistic. Indeed, as the researcher Ulrich Speck recently pointed out on Twitter, while in France the centre has a slight majority, in Germany the centre has a majority of around 80 percent. And while the party system in France is beginning to break up at the edges, in Germany it is still strong. If Angela Merkel stays the course, the hopes for a centrist, less divided Europe could be far from delusionary.
In the U.K. an alliance of Labour moderates and Liberal Democrats led by Tony Blair and Tim Farron appears to be slowly forming behind the scenes, in spite of LibDem denials. A new electoral force led by these two pro-EU, anti-Brexit politicians could change the balance of power in Britain decisively, supplant the incoherent Labour leadership of Jeremy Corbyn, make UKIP irrelevant and deprive Theresa May’s government of its current populist surge.
These are not vain expectations: though the path to a centrist Europe may be long and complex, it certainly exists, and is beginning to look more promising. Whatever happens to the presidency of Macron, France is not going to be the ‘third domino’ after Trump and Brexit, and the question now is whether there and elsewhere electorates that have tired of party politics can be persuaded to vote for groupings that represent a true change in European political life. Will they reject the sham-democratic, populist scenarios promoted by sections of the press and media that represent the vested interests of a few?
Looking elsewhere in Europe, the prospect of such a change does not seem unrealistic. Indeed, as the researcher Ulrich Speck recently pointed out on Twitter, while in France the centre has a slight majority, in Germany the centre has a majority of around 80 percent. And while the party system in France is beginning to break up at the edges, in Germany it is still strong. If Angela Merkel stays the course, the hopes for a centrist, less divided Europe could be far from delusionary.
In the U.K. an alliance of Labour moderates and Liberal Democrats led by Tony Blair and Tim Farron appears to be slowly forming behind the scenes, in spite of LibDem denials. A new electoral force led by these two pro-EU, anti-Brexit politicians could change the balance of power in Britain decisively, supplant the incoherent Labour leadership of Jeremy Corbyn, make UKIP irrelevant and deprive Theresa May’s government of its current populist surge.
These are not vain expectations: though the path to a centrist Europe may be long and complex, it certainly exists, and is beginning to look more promising. Whatever happens to the presidency of Macron, France is not going to be the ‘third domino’ after Trump and Brexit, and the question now is whether there and elsewhere electorates that have tired of party politics can be persuaded to vote for groupings that represent a true change in European political life. Will they reject the sham-democratic, populist scenarios promoted by sections of the press and media that represent the vested interests of a few?
Labels:
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Sunday, April 23, 2017
Defending the Centre
In Foreign Affairs magazine, two recent items address the widening problem of the demise of political centrism. In their essay The Liberal Order is Rigged: Fix It Now Or Watch It Wither, Watson Institute's Jeff D. Colgan and Princeton academic Robert O. Keohane place emphasis on two high-profile examples:
In 2016, the two states that had done the most to construct the liberal order—the United Kingdom and the United States—seemed to turn their backs on it. In the former, the successful Brexit campaign focused on restoring British sovereignty; in the latter, the Trump campaign was explicitly nationalist in tone and content.Looking for reasons to explain the populist resurgence, the authors settle on what they perceive to be the 'hijacking' of globalisation by a 'capitalism' (economic empire-building) that has, in their view, left the ordinary person behind. Traditional political parties, in their estimation
must do more than rebrand themselves and their ideas. They must develop substantive policies that will make globalization serve the interests of middle- and working-class citizens. Absent such changes, the global liberal order will wither away.A related article by Atlantic Council researcher Alina Polyakova examines the way in which European centre-right parties, dismayed by the rise of the populist far right, attempt to mimic their right-wing rivals by adopting similarly illiberal policies, and are then surprised to discover that the electorate prefers the undiluted populism of groupings like Front National to the ersatz versions offered by traditional parties. With concern, she emphasises that because of this the centre right
across the world should not give in to the far right, and the center left must stand firm on progressive principles that channel voters’ anxieties rather than feed them.Polyakova focuses on France and the Netherlands: but the United Kingdom, not discussed by the author in her piece, faces a similar displacement of political forces: Mrs. May's government has adopted nearly all the policies of its fringe rival UKIP. Here the process appears to be developing in a way that contradicts the author's argument: far from losing support, the May government is actually increasing its lead over the steadily shrinking opposition, mainly by espousing the positions of the populist right. Tory conservatism, once identifiable as centre-right, is drifting further and further away from the centre -- and a right-wing, pro-hard Brexit Tory government already looks like the victor in the forthcoming general election.
Labels:
2017 UK General Election,
Brexit,
Colgan,
Foreign Affairs,
Keohane,
Polyakova,
Populism,
Theresa May
Saturday, April 22, 2017
Cancrizans
With Donald Trump’s tacit endorsement of Marine Le Pen’s
candidacy in the French presidential election after the Paris terror attack, we
enter a phase of history that is once again ‘unprecedented’. Never before have
the United States and Europe formed an apparent alliance in the name of ideas
and aspirations that seek to rout and displace democracy, and in the words of
Garry Kasparov, ‘to roll back the progress and values of the modern world.’
As Kasparov notes, Le Pen, Putin, IS and Trump form a quartet
devoted to the weakening of institutions that can challenge that roll-back.
Putin in particular is indifferent to left and right, intent solely on
acquiring power and causing disruption. Yet it’s hard to see the strategy here:
for example, while in his public statements Trump avoids saying anything that could upset Putin,
almost in the same breath he expresses views that appear to contradict Putin’s
policies at a basic level. The most recent example of this is Trump’s letter to Congress on the Global Magnitsky Human Rights Accountability Act, in which he declares his support for the Act and makes clear 'our commitment to its robust
and thorough enforcement.’
What’s one to make of these contradictory steps and
counter-steps? At the time of the recent U.S. missile strike on the Al Shayrat
airfield, which marked an apparent reversal of Trump’s policy as he stated it
during the presidential campaign, numerous voices were heard praising the shift
and ascribing it to a ‘new Trump’ who was, according to them, now showing his true, democratic
hand. Yet it’s doubtful that Trump has really abandoned his support for
Assad, his determination to crush IS, and his willingness to join an alliance
with Putin to achieve that goal.
Similarly, in his foreign policy appointments, President
Trump has so far shown indifference to direction and ideology: Secretary of
State Tillerson’s recent visit to Moscow ended with him remarking that
U.S.-Russian relations were at a ‘low point’, and warning Russia that it risked
becoming 'irrelevant' in the Middle East by backing Assad. At a Security Council
meeting held the day after the Khan Shaykhun chemical attack, the new U.S. Permanent Representative at the United Nations, Nikki Haley, said that Russia and Iran have
‘no interest in peace’ and somewhat later charged Russia with ‘siding with
Assad’. Little of this appears to harmonise with Trump’s Middle East policy
statements during the campaign.
My own view is that Kasparov is correct: while Le Pen,
Putin, IS and Trump in a sense work together to challenge the conventional view
of the world and international relations that has been carefully built up
since the end of the Second World War, their goal is ultimately the channelling
of influence away from the centre and towards the extremes, no matter whether of right or of left. If
this requires the forfeiting of previously held positions and policies, so be
it: the aim is a dynamic process of backwards, crab-like movement, bypassing and manipulating political and electoral institutions, frustrating
the pundits and commentators, leaving the press and media behind, and
mapping out a new world that’s created not by slow, measured progress and
democratic debate but by the amassing of global power in the hands of a few individuals whose ideas and visions are as yet obscure, but don’t look like the
dreams of democrats.
(Cancrizans: [medieval Latin] moving backwards, from cancrizare, to move crabwise.)
Labels:
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Trumpism
Friday, April 21, 2017
Chechnya: Image and Reality
Those who have been following the reports of gay men fleeing
Chechnya in the face of a Chechen government-backed campaign of intimidation
may have wondered exactly why Novaya Gazeta has decided to publish these
accounts right now. While homophobia is widespread in Russia, and given a
certain degree of official toleration, the fact (vigorously denied by the
authorities) of its being official state policy within Chechnya is acquiring a
much higher profile than its prevalence elsewhere in the Federation.
The stories and narratives emanating from the Republic are
certainly disturbing: “They want to exterminate us,” says Ruslan, a gay man
forced to leave his wife and children
Human rights organisations like HRW and Caucasian Knot have
been quick to take up the stories and investigate them further. In spite of
official denials, it does appear that some kind of campaign of intimidation has
been started against those whose sexuality deviates from the locally accepted
norms. But perhaps it’s as well to reflect that the reports first appeared in
Novaya Gazeta, a paper that has a strong tradition of human rights reporting –
Anna Politkovskaya was a journalist on the publication – but one that also (like nearly all other mainstream Russian media) has some links to the Russian state and its intelligence services.
Few will question that the LGBT community in Chechnya – as elsewhere in the Russian Federation – do not have an easy time, and that indeed their personal security and their lives may be in danger. But a question-mark does hang over the timing of the reports, and the inevitable danger that they may be used to further bolster the negative image of Chechnya and Chechens that has been built up over the years in the minds of Russians – and Westerners – by Russian press and media.
Few will question that the LGBT community in Chechnya – as elsewhere in the Russian Federation – do not have an easy time, and that indeed their personal security and their lives may be in danger. But a question-mark does hang over the timing of the reports, and the inevitable danger that they may be used to further bolster the negative image of Chechnya and Chechens that has been built up over the years in the minds of Russians – and Westerners – by Russian press and media.
Labels:
Caucasian Knot,
Chechnya,
Human Rights Watch,
LGBT,
North Caucasus Human Rights,
Novaya Gazeta
Web magazine on Russia
The Interpreter magazine continues to deliver excellent
coverage of events and crises in Russia, Eastern Europe and the Middle East, in
spite of the fact that its funding was cut off twice – first by Mikhail
Khodorkovsky’s Open Russia foundation, and then by Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty.
Exactly what lay behind these regrettable decisions remains a subject for
speculation, but the fact that the magazine has refused to succumb to financial
pressure and has continued publication regardless is testimony to the
perseverance and commitment of its staff, in particular Catherine Fitzpatrick,
who is currently managing the enterprise almost single-handedly.
Among other items, the current issue of the magazine
contains features on the Ukraine war, a survey of recent Russia-related events including flights by Russian nuclear-capable bombers within 100 miles of U.S.
territory in Alaska, an account of the aftermath of Rex Tillerson’s visit to
Moscow, with sweeping arrests of opposition figures, and an article from Novaya Gazeta on
threats of retribution against journalists from Chechen clergy over articles on
persecution of LGBT.
Let's hope that The Interpreter will continue to be
updated, in spite of its current difficulties, as it’s one of the few independent English-language sources of
reliable information about developments in Russia and the ‘Russian world’.
Restarting the blog
After rather a long hiatus, I'm now considering restarting A Step At A Time - Putinism, Trumpism, LePenism and Brexit are all subjects that need attention, and now is as good a time as any to give it. I'm also putting up a tip jar in the form of a Donate button, so if you feel that you have found something useful in the blog, which goes all the way back to 2004, by the way, please feel free to insert a dollar or two.
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