A Step At A Time

Reflections on the new world order. The blog can also be accessed here

Tuesday, May 31, 2005

 

Spirit of 1937

In Yezhednevnyi Zhurnal, reflecting on the senseless cruelty of the Khodorkovsky trial and its verdict, Leonid Radzikhovsky writes about the state of virtual national blackmail that exists between the Putin government and the people of Russia, with the government relentlessly plugging the line that it is the "least worst" option, and that the alternatives can only be even darker:
I expected a “guilty” verdict. And nevertheless I am shocked - 9 years, no leniency: "He’ll go to jail, I said!" Poor parents and wife of Khodorkovsky, relatives of Lebedev! I remember there was this film about the Decembrists, "Star of Captivating Fortune", and there, at the end of the first series, the successful symbolic sequence: the enormous fence of the prison, reaching to the sky, as a waggon carrying the convicted Decembrists drives in, and the gates slowly close. "This is our motherland, my son".

Well, it’s all right, the defenders of the unjustly maligned law court will hurry to tell me, these multi-millionaires are no Decembrists, not one bit of it. And really they only have themselves to blame – they’re guilty, all too guilty! Too rich, too conspicuous ("such impudence!"), dizzy with success, what can one say. "If you want to avoid being kidnapped, don’t flaunt your wealth" – is the advice on TV. They flaunted it, but Russia doesn’t forgive that. (Why, for God’s sake, don’t they live in England like the governor of Chukotka, or in France like Federal Council member Pugachev, or in Switzerland like the multi-millionaire from Perm', D. Rybolovlev, and now even the nuclear millionaire Adamov? So they themselves are guilty, just look at where they chose to live - in Russia!)

- - - - - - - - -

This "spirit of 1937" is alive. It is sleeping - because no one wakes it. But just wait - the noble impulses of the soul will emerge, the "purest example of the purest charm". Of course, the government is afraid of that. Yes, in spite of everything, the government, THIS PUTIN GOVERNMENT – is the lesser evil. It is a greater evil for Khodorkovsky. It is an evil for the country - weak, incompetent, cruel to its personal enemies (or those whom it considers enemies), mercenary, etc. One could go on listing for a long time what is already obvious to any normal person. But this government is the lesser evil. Lesser – than what? Lesser than the possible Brown Revolution, lesser than the violent overthrow of this government, lesser than the spontaneous outburst of "national retribution".


 

"Anti-terrorism"

Civil Georgia notes that
Parliamentarians from the opposition New Rights and Republican parties expressed concern at the Parliament’s session on May 31 about that part of a joint declaration of Russian and Georgian Foreign Ministers signed in Moscow on Monday, which deals with setting up of anti-terrorist center. Opposition MPs fear that this provision might be used by Russia to transform its military presence in Georgia into presence of secret services.

According to this joint declaration, which sets a timeframe for Russian bases’ withdrawal, part of personnel, equipment and infrastructure currently belonging to Batumi military base will be used for setting up of a joint Russo-Georgian anti-terrorist center. Details about this joint anti-terrorist center will be outlined in a separate agreement.

MP Pikria Chikhradze, one of the leaders of the opposition New Rights party, called on the authorities to be cautious while discussing the issue of setting up a joint Russian-Georgian anti-terrorist center.

“The Georgian government should undertake measures in order not to replace these military bases with the anti-terrorist centers, which might be no less dangerous, than base itself,” MP Pikria Chikhradze, one of the leaders of New Rights Party said.

“I really do not want to see Russian secret services replacing Russian troops in Batumi,” MP Davit Berdzenishvili, the leader of Republican Party said.


(via chechnya-sl)

See also in this blog: Russian Troop Withdrawal

 

Khodorkovsky and Lebedev Sentenced to 9 Years Each

RFE/RL reports that Khordorkovskii and Lebedev have been sentenced to nine years each:
Moscow's Meshchanskii Raion Court on 31 May sentenced former Yukos CEO Mikhail Khodorkovskii and Menatep Chairman Platon Lebedev to nine years' imprisonment each after convicting them of tax evasion and embezzlement, RFE/RL's Russian Service and international media reported.

The sentence came after the court completed the 12-day process of reading the more than 1,000-page verdict.

Fellow defendant and former Volna General Director Andrei Krainov was given a five-year suspended sentence for embezzlement.

When the judge asked Khodorkovskii if he understood the verdict, Khodorkovskii responded: "The verdict is clear. A monument to Basmannyi justice has been erected," RIA-Novosti reported. "Basmannyi justice" is a term that Khodorkovskii's supporters have used to describe the Kremlin's purported manipulation of the courts and refers to Moscow's Basmannyi Raion Court, which is considered the most Kremlin-friendly court in Russia. In response to the same question, Lebedev said: "No normal person could understand this verdict."
Later in the report, Irina Khakamada, leader of Our Choice, is quoted as saying that the verdict is "aggressive and unjust."
"This court decision is intended to frighten everyone and to show who is in charge here," she added. "We have been convinced that defense is useless. A term of 10 years was announced long before the trial began. The authorities have demonstrated that they are sweeping away democratic institutions and do not want to legitimize property."

Khakmada added that the same charges that Khodorkovskii faced could easily be filed against an enormous number of businesspeople and against the "bureaucrats who wrote the laws." She said that Khordorkovskii was persecuted for his independent, uncompromising stance. "Probably he had the chance to sign some sort of document and escape prison, but he did not do that," she said.

 

Expansion and the EU

Comments on the French "no" vote, by Dutch political analyst Dick Leurdyk:

Leurdyk says the EU's rate of expansion to the east has been too rapid for the French to accept, especially in view of the fact that a host of other countries are lining up for membership, including Ukraine, Moldova, the western Balkan countries, and Turkey.

"One of the big concerns, which has now come to the fore, has been the fact that so many people really are afraid of the speed of the unification process, the fact we now have all of a sudden 10 new members, [the EU has grown] from 15 to 25, that seems to have been one of the main factors for many people [in France] to say no, and this is certainly also the case with the debate we have here in the Netherlands," Leurdyk says.

Monday, May 30, 2005

 

Degrees of Fear

The Chechen Times has some commentary on the curious reluctance of the Russian authorities - normally so eager to pin the blame for most acts of public violence on "Chechen terrorists" and "Basayev" - to arrive at their usual conclusion in the recent cases of the Moscow power outage and the arson attack on the Stanislavsky Theatre:
The main point of it is that people should not be frightened too much. The degree of fear must be moderate most of the time. Otherwise, citizens may demand putting an end to the war in Chechnya or, what is even more terrible, urge the president to dismiss his appointees from responsible posts. This is dangerous for the authorities, because after numerous replacements of ministers the people might suddenly discover that the system is unable to offer a product of different quality. And then Chechens alone – as a main enemy – won’t be enough to save «managed democracy» itself…

Смысл ее в том, что не стоит слишком сильно пугать народ. Градус страха большую часть времени должен быть достаточно умеренным. В противном случае, граждане могут потребовать остановить войну в Чечне или, что еще ужаснее, призвать президента снять с ответственных постов его же назначенцев. А это опасно для власти, потому что после многократной замены министров, народ вдруг может осенит мысль, что система просто физически не может предложить товар иного качества. И тогда для спасения себя самой «управляемой демократии» одних чеченцев, в качестве главного врага, будет уже недостаточно…

 

Russian Troop Withdrawal

The BBC reports that Russia has agreed to withdraw its remaining troops from Georgia by 2008.

Update: RFE/RL has more here:
The Georgian foreign minister said that the hardest part in the negotiations had been to persuade the Russians that withdrawal should not be seen as a national humiliation but the beginning of a new partnership with a neighbouring and independent state.

The Russians had originally asked for 11 years to withdraw from Georgia and for hundreds of millions of dollars to pay for the troops removal to new facilities in Russia or elsewhere. That they have agreed to far less is a reflection of the growing international pressure on Moscow to stop prevaricating on withdrawal and a dawning appreciation in Moscow of the fact that the issue was forcing the Georgians into ever closer ties with the United States and NATO.

It helped in the end that the Georgians were able to offer the Russians sweeteners. According to today's agreement, Georgia and Russia are to work to set up a joint antiterrorist center in Georgia, although where it will be and what its remit should be are yet to be decided.

Georgia has also offered a verbal commitment not to allow any third country to deploy troops on its territory.

In the end, the agreement came as no surprise. Just last week, Russian President Vladimir Putin told the newspaper "Komsomolskaya Pravda" that while it was regrettable from a political point of view that Georgia wanted the Russians to leave, it was its sovereign right.

And in any case, Putin added, the bases served no useful military purpose. Georgia's only regret will be that it has taken Moscow so long to reach this conclusion.

 

More Uzbek Arrests

Mass Arrests of Oppositionists Reported in Uzbekistan

30.05.2005

MosNews

Uzbek police detained dozens of opposition activists over the weekend,
an opposition party leader said on Monday.

"Within the last two days, police have detained dozens of our party
members, saying we are hiding terrorists involved in the recent
uprising in the Fergana Valley," Vasilya Inoyatova, the leader of the
outlawed Birlik party, or Unity, was quoted by AP as saying.

She said at least 20 activists who had come from the eastern Fergana
Valley for a party meeting in Tashkent were detained this morning, and
that other Birlik members and her relatives, including her husband and
26-year-old son, had been arrested earlier.

On Sunday, Inoyatova and representatives of three other outlawed
opposition parties met with three US senators - John McCain of
Arizona, Lindsey Graham of South Carolina, and John Sununu of New
Hampshire - who added their voices to Western calls for the Central
Asian nation's leadership to allow an international investigation into
the bloodshed.

A human rights activist, Surat Ikramov, said today police were
preventing him from leaving his home in the capital Tashkent and that
he had received calls from numerous other rights activists who either
had been detained or were forcibly isolated in their homes.

The detentions follow the uprising that erupted in the eastern city of
Andijan on May 13, when militants seized a local prison and government
headquarters and thousands of protesters hit the streets. Uzbek
authorities say 173 people died, but deny they opened fire on unarmed
civilians. Human rights activists claim there were up to 750 people
killed.


Update: the BBC has a report here.

 

Bildt Blog

Carl Bildt, the Swedish politician who was Sweden's prime minister between 1991 and 1994, and whose government signed the 1995 accession of Sweden to the European Union, undertook far-reaching liberalization and structural reforms to improve Sweden's economic competitiveness, and modernized its old-style welfare system, has a blog.

Bildt's comments on the French referendum result and its consequences are worth reading. IUn particular, he points out that what has happened represents, among other things, the revolt of the rural against the urban.




 

Baltic Backlash

In a recent article on Russia's relations with the Baltic States, published in Helsingin Sanomat on May 17, Finnish analyst Olli Kivinen commented:
The Baltic States have every reason to be pleased that Russia continued to snarl at them even during the celebrations of Victory Day. The Balts got more positive publicity from different parts of the world than at any previous time, including the period of the restoration of their independence in the early 1990s. At that time many dramatic turns of events were taking place in Europe, which partly overshadowed the events in the Baltic States.

Little is known around the world about the history or reality of the Baltic States, or of Finland. Now the situation is better from their point of view; membership in NATO and the EU combined with the flurry of publicity sparked by Moscow have efficiently spread information about the position of the Baltic States.
Kivinen followed this up with some perceptive remarks about the significance of the Molotov-Ribbentrop pact, and its continuing relevance to East European politics - and, indeed, European politics in general - today:
Denying the reality of the past inflicts the greatest damage on the countries that do so.

The contradictory messages clearly make Russia’s position more difficult. Talk of building democracy and belonging to the European family on the one hand, and falsifying the past on the other, show a sharp contradiction, which is deepened by the incessantly brutal nature of the war in Chechnya.

The relationship with the Molotov-Ribbentrop pact is a concrete source of suspicion and fear.

During the time of Mikhail Gorbachov the Soviet Union condemned the treaty, but Russia has not done the same. On the contrary, President Vladimir Putin recently downplayed the pact and its consequences, saying that it was an action with which Russia sought to secure its interests and security on its western borders.

Russia’s Ambassador to Finland, Vladimir Grinin wrote on the op-ed page of Helsingin Sanomat (May 9th, 2005) that the Soviet Union was "forced" to sign its agreement with Germany. At the same time he tried to completely circumvent the Soviet attack on Finland, and the Winter War.

It is difficult to see how Russia’s actions toward the Baltic States and the reactions they have caused would help the Russian minorities in those countries, which Russia is constantly concerned about. One might rather say that the policies of the Baltic countries are understood around the world much better than before, and Russia’s actions are followed much more closely and with more suspicion.

Lashing out at the Baltics has also weakened Russia’s relations with the United States and the EU. The important visit to Latvia of President George Bush and his strong support for the Baltic countries took place because Russia’s statements had placed domestic pressure on Bush and forced him to clear the road to Moscow by giving strong support to the Balts.

 

Enlargement and the "No" Vote

Commenting on likely implications of a predominantly "No" vote in the French referendum on the European constitutional treaty before yesterday's result became known, Michael Emerson, a senior analyst at the Centre for European Policy Studies in Brussels, noted in an interview for RFE/RL that "countries such as Ukraine and Georgia will have to abandon their membership hopes for the foreseeable future":

"This means that the leaders of Ukraine and Georgia are making great speeches about their ambitions to join the European Union, they are going to find the setting rather an uncomfortable one to carry on making those speeches. That leads absolutely to the question of whether the motivating influence of Europeanization of these states is going to be damaged."

Worryingly for membership hopefuls, enthusiasm for further enlargement is fast losing ground in the one EU institution that has traditionally led the drive -- the European Parliament.

Marianne Mikko is an Estonian deputy who chairs the European Parliament's delegation for Moldova. She told RFE/RL that although there has been a perceptible shift of mood in the parliament against enlargement.

"When we look at Ukraine and Moldova, then with the exception of one European Parliament resolution, there has been talk or promises of membership," she said. "On the other hand, the Action Plans remain in force and integration [with the EU] will continue. I would not overdramatize the situation. I can say, however, that over the past month when it comes specifically to Moldova, I've noticed that in the corridors of the parliament the talk is clearly about the action plans and not whether Moldova could perhaps join the EU in 10-15 years' time."

This, Mikko says, reflects a shared desire on both the left and right of the political spectrum to avoid any damage to the "yes" campaign in France.

One source told RFE/RL the loss of enthusiasm is so palpable that Moldovan President Vladimir Voronin could be denied the opportunity to address the parliament's Foreign Affairs Committee when he visits its seat in Strasbourg early next month. An appearance before the plenary session is apparently completely out of the question.

Emerson traces the recent developments in France and Germany to broader factors that suggest the shift in the public mood against enlargement will not be a short-term phenomenon.

"The broad tendencies behind all of that are two quite different things. One, it's the anti-Muslim sentiment and the Christian identity club on the one hand. The second is all those who want to keep a relatively compact and controlled European Union, a governable European Union."

Emerson says the first casualty of a French "no" and a likely right-of-center victory in Germany's September elections will be Turkey. Ankara has been given the green light to begin accession talks in October. Emerson says the talks may yet begin, but with a "cloud hanging over them." He adds that the Turkish membership application has "no chances of succeeding" until the end of the "political cycle," likely to be introduced by a French "no" vote in this weekend's referendum, a victory for the Germany's Christian Democrats (CDU), and a possible victory for the right-of-center French politician Nicolas Sarkozy in the country's presidential elections in 2007.

Emerson says the western Balkan states could also be vulnerable and see their accession hopes thwarted for the foreseeable future. He says Bulgaria and Romania have a "chance of just getting through before the door is shut."

The European Commission today was forced to admit that although both states have already signed their accession treaties, their entry could still be blocked if the treaties are not ratified. CDU officials in Germany suggested this week neither country is ready to join the EU in 2007 as planned.

Germany also leads a group of EU countries attempting to roll back proposed budget increases for the bloc for the years 2007 to 2013. The commission has said that, as a result, funding for its external relations activities could decrease by nearly 20 percent.

However, Emerson says things could yet turn out better for those countries that have no EU membership aspirations -- such as those in Central Asia or the Arab world. He says the rollback of enlargement ambitions of some countries means the EU can tackle the others with greater clarity.

"I think possibly [the EU foreign policy] would become more proactive. They will be forced to take the neighborhood policy all the more seriously because it becomes the only game. If the enlargement game is not there then it is the neighborhood game and the question is how to play it."

Emerson says that enlargement has so far been treated in the EU as internal policy, whereas relations with countries in the European neighborhood have been classified as external policy. Emerson says that what he describes as a "fuzzy overlap" between the two until now is likely to disappear in the coming years. This means, he says that once the EU is no longer inhibited by fears of provoking further membership requests, it might run "quite a robust foreign policy."




Sunday, May 29, 2005

 

A Shift in Terror Policy?

In today's Washington Post, Susan B. Glasser writes that
the Bush administration has launched a high-level internal review of its efforts to battle international terrorism, aimed at moving away from a policy that has stressed efforts to capture and kill al Qaeda leaders since Sept. 11, 2001, and toward what a senior official called a broader "strategy against violent extremism."
(via global-geopolitics)

 

Basayev and the Stanislavsky Theatre

Shamil Basayev is now claiming that one of the groups under his command carried out Thursday's arson attack on Moscow's Stanislavsky Theatre:

On Saturday evening the Kavkaz Center agency received an additional brief communication from. Military Amir Abdallah Shamil Abu-Idris (Shamil Basayev). In the communication Chechen commander writes:

"Today we received a report from one more of our saboteur groups, which are charged with the task of destroying economic, political, administrative and cultural- propagandistic centres in the cities of Rusnya, and especially in Moscow, or of inflicting maximum damage on them. On the night of May 26- 27 May the group conducted a successful special operation, of arson against the Stanislavsky theatre in the capital of Rusnya.

As we promised after the base murder of the Ex- President of ChRI Of Yandarbiyev in 2004, we intend henceforth, as far as possible, to bomb, to blown up, to hunt, to ignite, to cause consumer gas explosions and fires in the entire territory of Rusnya.

Today, by the favor of Allah, our numbers include Moslems of the most varied nationalities, including Russians, who embarked on the path of jihad, and also numerous assistants from the sympathizing Moslems, and therefore every day our possibilities grow, Inshallah. Allahu Akbar!."

We remind readers that this communication reached the editorial staff of Kavkaz Center on the evening of May 28.
2005-05-28 21:24:28

Басаев: «Театр Станиславского уничтожен нашей диверсионной группой»

В субботу вечером агентство «Кавказ-Центр» получило еще одно краткое сообщение от Военного Амира Абдаллаха Шамиля Абу-Идриса (Шамиля Басаева). В сообщении чеченский командир пишет:

«Сегодня получен доклад еще от одной из наших диверсионных групп, перед которыми поставлены задачи по уничтожению экономических, политических, административных и культурно-пропагандистских центров в городах Русни и особенно в Москве, или нанесение им максимального ущерба. В ночь с 26 на 27 мая группа провела успешную спецоперацию, осуществив поджог театра Станиславского в столице Русни.

Как нами и было обещано после подлого убийства экс-президента ЧРИ Яндарбиева в 2004 году, мы намерены и впредь, по мере возможности, бомбить, взрывать, травить, поджигать, устраивать взрывы бытового газа и пожары на всей территории Русни.

Сегодня в наших рядах, милостью Аллаха, мусульмане самых разных национальностей, в том числе и русских, ставших на путь Джихада, а так же немало помощников из числа сочувствующих немусульман, и поэтому наши возможности день ото дня растут, инша Аллах. Аллаху Акбар!».

Напомним, что это сообщение пришло в редакцию «Кавказ-Центра» вечером 28 мая.
2005-05-28 21:24:28
_____________________________

From the Kommersant report:

Fire ruins applause

[passage omitted]

Since 2003 through 2005 the theatre has been restored after the first fire - and the reconstruction of the main building had been carried out, refitting of the stage was being completed. Builders intended to bring the theatre back into operation on City Day, the first day off in September. However, yesterday's fire cancelled all their efforts. In the opinion of representatives "Mospromstroy" the reconstruction of theater may now take at least another six months.

- Andrei Salnikov

Kommersant also says that since 2003 there have been 8 smaller and larger fires in Russian theatres.

The latest was of course at the Stanislavsky and Nemirovich-Danchenko, but not long ago there was also a fire at the Russian Army Theatre.


(via chechnya-sl)

Saturday, May 28, 2005

 

Basayev: Official Reaction

Official Russian government reaction to Basayev's claim, as reported by AP (May 27):

The Federal Security Service, or FSB, declined comment on the claim, and telephone calls to the Industry and Energy Ministry were not answered.

But Industry and Energy Minister Viktor Khristenko was quoted earlier in the day as rejecting speculation that a terrorist act was responsible for Wednesday's blackout.

"I think that this is not a terrorist act. We are just using old equipment, from 1958, which needs to be replaced," Khristenko told the RIA-Novosti news agency, the Gazeta.ru news Web site reported.

The conflicting claims recalled the aftermath of the blackout in eight U.S. states and Canada in August 2003. Although a shadowy group calling itself the Abu Hafs al-Masri Brigades claimed responsibility, investigators quickly ruled out any sabotage.

Basayev is Russia's most wanted man, and is seen as the driving force behind the decade-old insurgency in the breakaway republic of Chechnya since Russian security forces killed guerrilla leader Aslan Maskhadov on March 8.

Basayev has claimed responsibility for many of Russia's most grisly terrorist attacks, including the 2002 Moscow theater hostage-taking and last September's school siege in southern Russia, in which more than 330 people died — half of them children.

Friday, May 27, 2005

 

Basayev on Moscow Blackout

As many Russian experts assumed, the reason of so-called “technogenic catastrophe” in Moscow and in the Moscow district, were actions of the Chechen Mujahideen. It is said in the message which Kavkaz Center received today.

Kavkaz Center agency has received via e-mail a brief statement of Military Amir Abdallah Shamil Abu-Idris (AKA Shamil Basayev) that on 24-25 May, sabotage groups of Mujahideen have conducted a successful special operation in territory of Moscow and the Moscow district, having put out of action a power supply system of the Central region of Russia.

«Our sabotage groups have delivered a sensitive blow on one of the most important systems of ability to live of the Russian empire. The result of the special operation has surpassed our expectations. At the present, we’re gaining information on consequences of our strike across the Central Russia. While I can tell only one – the Russian authorities impudently lie, hiding the true reason of “technogenic catastrophe” try to hide very serious consequences of the special action conducted by us.

While I shall be limited to this brief statement, by not opening the important details of special operation as the serious analytical estimation is at present carrying out, both our actions and actions of the enemy.

Let's remind that this statement has been received by Kavkaz Center via email on May 27, in second half of day.

Kavkaz Center


http://www.kavkazcenter.com/eng/content/2005/05/27/3828.shtml

 

Tymoshenko and Yushchenko - Harmony

UKRAINIAN PREMIER VOWS TO WORK IN HARMONY WITH PRESIDENT. Prime Minister Yuliya Tymoshenko told journalists in Kyiv on 26 May that she has agreed to work together with President Viktor Yushchenko in order to harmonize relations in the state-power system, Interfax reported. "I've had a wonderful talk with the president and I think that 99 percent of [issues] have been settled," Tymoshenko said. "Nothing will stop us from doing our business, even meteorites falling from the sky." Asked to comment on Yushchenko's proposal last week that she resign, Tymoshenko responded, "It [was] necessary to frighten Russian oil traders." Yushchenko reportedly made this proposal during a government meeting with Russian oil traders on 18 May (see "RFE/RL Belarus and Ukraine Report," 26 May 2005). JM

(from today's RFE/RL Newsline - 27.05.2005)

 

Internet Registration Order Suspended

UKRAINIAN MINISTER SUSPENDS ORDER ON REGISTRATION OF ELECTRONIC MEDIA. Transport and Communications Minister Yevhen Chervonenko on 26 May suspended for 10 days his instruction of 27 April whereby he ordered all electronic media, including Internet sites, to apply for registration with his ministry, Ukrainian media reported. Chervonenko told journalists that he wants to organize a roundtable in the ministry with all interested sides to discuss the instruction. "Nobody from the [President Viktor] Yushchenko team will force anybody to register," he added. The instruction has provoked a flood of indignant reactions and protests in Ukraine, particularly among Internet users. "This step could damage freedom of expression on the Internet. We will be watching closely to see that this registration procedure does not become obligatory for private websites," the Reporters Without Borders media watchdog said in a recent statement.JM

(from today's RFE/RL Newsline - 27.05.2005)

 

New Leaf

In the JC (subscription required), Alex Brummer reflects on the new and apparently reformed incarnation of Britain's Independent newspaper:
For several years now, the Independent has been cast into the outer darkness among readers sympathetic to Israel. Despite a Jewish editor in the shape of Simon Kelner and the contributions of veteran Middle East writer Eric Silver, of this parish, it has been viewed as being among the least sympathetic of our national newspapers to the Israeli cause.

The dominant voice on the Middle East at the paper has been Robert Fisk — and the paper’s use of an outrageous cartoon, showing Ariel Sharon eating Palestinian babies would have been enough to put off Jewish readers for life.

That would be a great pity. Because, in its new compact shape, the Independent has become a campaigning newspaper, using modern design and is easier to read than its dense, Blairite rival, the Times.

But, most significantly, in Donald Macintyre, the paper’s former political editor who is now comfortably settled in Jerusalem, it has found a new voice.

Here is a reporter less interested in the daily tit-for-tat headlines and instant analysis — which is the pattern for reporting from the region — and more interested in the sinews of the conflict and in understanding the mosaic of opinion and ethnicity which makes the politics and diplomacy of Israel/Palestine so complex.

The most commonly held complaint I hear from Israeli sympathisers about our national press is its failure to write beyond the conflict and seek to understand Palestinian and Israeli society.

In a recent series of articles — when the focus has been off the immediate conflict — Macintyre has done just that. The past two weeks have seen an insightful interview with the writer A. B. Yehoshua, described by Macintyre as a “moral touchstone for Israelis;” a feature on Macintyre’s visit to Nazareth to speak to the museum owner who has set up the first exhibition aimed at an Arab audience which seeks to understand Jewish suffering at the hands of the Nazis.

Macintyre has also taken the temperature of the Israeli town of Nitz-anim, which is preparing for the relocation of settlers from Gaza just down the coast. And he has produced an investigative report on Patriarch Irineos, the Greek Orthodox priest who, it is alleged, sold out his Palestinian flock for Israeli gold.

Each of these reports makes for fascinating reading. The Yehoshua profile/interview looks at both the author’s literary output — including his new novel, “The Mission of the Human-Resource Man” — and the novelist’s place in the debate about the future of the Middle East.

 

Information block

Volodymyr Campaign has a link to a Reuters AlertNet report that the Uzbek government is trying to block information about the hundreds of killings of civilians at Andijan on May 13.

 

The Paradox of Chile

Social Change In Contemporary Latin America looks at Chile, and finds some paradoxes in its story of success and stability, contrasting it with Mexico - "an empty shell that is about to collapse." Above all, the blog suggests, such success and stability are in no small measure due to "long-standing agreements among the country's elites that go all the way back to the 19th century. Such agreements explain, as an example, their ability to defeat Peru and Bolivia in the wars that they have fought against each other but also in their ability to manipulate in their favor the relation they had in the 19th century with Britain."

Now, when conflict ravages all the region, Chile stands not only as the less “democratic” of all the countries in the region (see the Electoral Democracy Index built by the United Nations Development Programme) but also as the only one that has been able to effectively reduce poverty and to develop a truly progressive tax regime.

At the core of such paradoxical success, it is possible to find political elites willing and able to reach compromises. The most important of such compromises, however, has hot been with other groups or parties, but above all with the country’s conflicting authoritarian legacy. Even the socialist President Ricardo Lagos, a political refugee during Pinochet's refine, has been willing to preserve, untouched, the market reforms carried by Pinochet.

Such ability puts the Chilean politicians well beyond their peers from other countries
.

Thursday, May 26, 2005

 

Cuba: The Real Situation

In The American Thinker, Sardinian blogger Stefania Lapenna has published a first-rate account and analysis of the open air conference of oppositionists that took place in Havana, Cuba, on May 20 and 21.

(via Babalú Blog)

 

AUT Boycott Overturned

The AUT boycott has been overturned by two thirds to one. From the JP report:
Upon exiting the meeting, Scott Styles, an AUT member from the Aberdeen local branch, remarked: "It was a passionate but measured debate." He said that in the first AUT meeting, when it was chosen to pass boycott motion, there was no proper debate, which upset many members."

Styles thought that the first meeting's lack of discussion is what motivated members to vote against the boycott on Thursday.

Paul Anderson, from City University branch of the AUT and part of the department of journalism told The Jerusalem Post that "on all of the substantive motions, the boycott was overturned. It's good news."

Anderson also mentioned "the meeting was quite passionate at some points."

Luciana Berger, a spokesperson for the Union of Jewish Students, was elated at the outcome. "This is fantastic news," she said, pleased with the "good results today."

Berger categorized the results as just. "The feeling here is not one of being triumphant, but that the right decision was made. I'm disappointed we even had to be here in the first place."

UJS's sectary Andr Oboler also felt "relieved," but he was not willing to view the overturned decision as a victory. "This is the start of an ongoing problem," he warned.

Right before the boycott, there was a vigil of about 150 Jewish students standing outside the conference center. The group was addressed by a number of speakers, including MPs. The vigil ended with a singing of the Israeli national anthem, "Hatikva."

 

Deferring to Dictators

Subscribers to Time Magazine now have instant Internet access to the entire Time archive dating back to 1923.

Commenting on the pre-World War II articles on Russia and the Baltic States, Mari-Ann Kelam says "What I find shocking about these articles is that so much of what was happening, what the Soviets were doing then was known and in the media AND STILL IT WAS ALLOWED TO HAPPEN."

An example:

Foreign News
Moscow's Week

Monday, Oct. 09, 1939

The velvet glove of diplomacy is empty unless a firm fist can be felt beneath it. Last week J. Stalin showed Russia's fist as well as her finesse. For several days Moscow was the undisputed diplomatic capital of Europe. It was a Mecca to which diplomats either made pilgrimages or salaamed. The Foreign Ministers of Germany, Turkey and Estonia all trotted to the Kremlin. Great Britain discussed whether she ought to send David Lloyd George there, and Hungary, Rumania, Bulgaria were all on the point of dispatching top flight statesmen eastward. In Sofia, Tsar Boris III of Bulgaria, than whom no crowned head is more anti-Bolshevik, wrapped up three large packages of his gold-crested cigarets with his own hands and addressed them as gifts respectively to Communist Party Secretary General Joseph Stalin, Soviet Premier Viacheslav Molotov and Defense Commissar Kliment Voroshilov. The Tsar's peace offering was flown to Moscow by Colonel Vasil Boydev, chief of the Bulgarian Air Force who came to see about starting a commercial air line between the U.S.S.R. and the Kingdom of the Bulgars.

Bluff and Bombers. Meanwhile, Dictator Stalin suddenly brought down Russia's fist upon Estonia. This prosperous little Baltic state flanks the sea approach to Leningrad, where the Red Navy is frozen up tight at least three months of each year, and its capital, Tallinn, is an ice-free port. On the pretext that the Estonian Government recently "allowed" an interned Polish submarine to chug out of Tallinn and become a commerce raider-actually it shot its way out, fired upon by harbor batteries (TIME, Oct. 2)-the Moscow press and radio have been violently attacking Estonia as "hostile" to Russia. These attacks redoubled in fury last week as Soviet stations screamed that the pint-size Russian freighter Metallist had been "torpedoed in Estonian waters" with a loss of five proletarian lives by a "mysterious submarine."

Next thing Estonians knew, warships of the Red Navy appeared off their ports. Soviet bombers, some of whom the Estonians thought came from a Russian aircraft carrier, began a threatening patrol over Tallinn and the nearby countryside. What all this meant, the Estonian Government soon learned from their Foreign Minister Karl Selter. He had flown to Moscow the week before to "boost trade," now flew back to Tallinn with word that the Russians bluntly asked Estonia to reduce herself to the status of a protectorate of the Soviet Union in return for trade favors. J. Stalin suggested that an Estonian delegation empowered to sign a treaty along these lines be at once brought to Moscow by Foreign Minister Selter. Some 48 hours later Mr. Selter emplaned with an imposing array of Estonian bigwigs.

"Higher and Higher!" It was no fun for A. Hitler to watch the "Berchtesgaden technique" of bluff & bludgeon being successfully used on Estonia last week by Russia. Germans have always hoped to dominate the Baltic. As long as 20 years ago German General Staff officers had perfected a fine set of plans for invading Russia with a thrust through Estonia to seize Leningrad. The Führer may or may not have realized before what his chumming up with the Bolsheviks might cost him in the Baltic sphere, as well as in the Balkans, but he saw every reason to inject trusted Nazi negotiators into the Moscow picture before the Estonian delegation arrived. Up and away from Berlin streaked three powerful German transport planes carrying Foreign Minister Joachim von Ribbentrop and an entourage of 35, including No. 1 Danzig Nazi Albert Forster.

In the Soviet capital a much larger guard of honor was sent to the airdrome to greet Herr von Ribbentrop than when he came to sign the Communazi Pact which emboldened Germany to plunge into World War II (TIME, Aug. 28). There was even a Red Army band (there had been none before), but Germany and Russia were not yet good enough friends for it to burst into either the Horst Wessel song or the Internationale. As the German Foreign Minister alighted, as he shook hands with the Soviet greeting committee and paced stiffly along inspecting his honor guard, the band merely tootled a Red Air Force ditty, Higher and Higher, which no Nazi was likely to recognize. As the Germans swept away in limousines at 6 p. m. the honor guard and band withdrew. Neither was left to greet the Estonian delegation of enforced capitulators who alighted a few minutes later at the same Moscow air field.

Baltic Pact. J. Stalin received A. Hitler's envoy at the Kremlin just five hours after he reached Moscow. Herr von Ribbentrop left a ballet performance of Swan Lake to go to the Dictator at 11 p. m. and they talked until 4 130 a. m. Seemingly this German intervention made no difference in the terms meted out to Estonia and signed two days later by Foreign Minister Selter's delegation.

The new Baltic Pact, running for ten years, provides: 1) Estonia grants Russia the right to maintain naval bases and airdromes protected by Red Army troops on the strategic islands dominating Tallinn, the Gulf of Finland and the Gulf of Riga; 2) Russia agrees to increase her annual trade turnover with Estonia and to give Estonia facilities in case the Baltic is closed to her goods (i. e. by Germany) for trading with the outside world via Soviet ports on the Black Sea and White Sea; 3) Russia and Estonia undertake to defend each other from "aggression arising on the part of any great European power" (i. e. Germany); 4) the Pact "should not affect" the "economic systems and state organizations" of Russia and Estonia.

This last clause, which carefully does not bind Russia to abstain from spreading Communist propaganda in Estonia, seemed to mean that the country will be spared for a time such outright Bolshevization as the Russians are putting through in their part of Poland. Military experts said that the Pact definitely transforms Estonia from a country capable of fighting for its independence into one completely at the mercy of the Soviet ships, planes and troops which are now to be based on her soil.

"Permanent Boundary." According to the covertly disgruntled Germans, Herr von Ribbentrop was in Moscow not out of Baltic anxiety but to negotiate the final partition of Poland, cement the new Russo-German ties still more firmly and secure J. Stalin's good offices in bringing pressure upon Great Britain and France to back out of World War II.

On all this Nazi Ribbentrop clicked with his Soviet hosts. Working long after midnight in the Kremlin two nights running, Premier Molotov and the German Foreign Minister, with J. Stalin sitting in, again redrew the map of Poland (see map). They moved last fortnight's provisional "Military Division" far eastward from the Vistula River to the Bug. Racially the population on the swastika side is almost purely Polish, on the hammer & sickle side it is nearly all of Ukrainian or White Russian blood. Thus the new "Permanent Boundary" is drawn on broad ethnographic lines. It was
embodied in a mealy-mouthed Protocol of Friendship signed by von Ribbentrop and Molotov in which they said that the purpose of Germany and Russia is "to restore in this region [Poland] law and order and to insure nationals living there an existence corresponding to their national character." The Protocol defied Great Britain & France by binding Germany and Russia to "decline interference of any kind by a third power with this settlement'' and described itself as laying "a foundation for progressing development of friendly relations between [the German & Russian] peoples." In outward token of chumminess, Herr von Ribbentrop, whose German aides on the occasion of his first visit said they were sure his Russian hosts were too tactful to ask him to meet a Jew, banqueted in the Kremlin cheek by jowl with two Jewish Soviet Cabinet Commissars.

Peace and Barter. In a joint statement attached to the Protocol and also signed by von Ribbentrop and Molotov, they declared that Germany and Russia have now laid "a safe foundation for lasting peace in Eastern Europe" and "will direct their joint efforts toward searching ... as soon as possible ... an end to the war existing between Germany on the one hand and England and France on the other." Should their efforts fail "then the fact would be established that England and France are responsible for continuation of the war and in case of continuation of the war the Governments of Germany and Soviet Russia will consult each other regarding the necessary measures."

Moscow correspondents reported that this clause gravely alarmed most of their Russian friends, for the same reason that it set most Germans beaming with elation: it implied that J. Stalin in the ultimate pinch might put the Red Army into World War II on the side of A. Hitler.

On the other hand, there was no denying that the Soviet-Estonian Treaty and the way the map of Poland is now drawn, amount to Russia's having blocked Germany out of both the North Baltic and the East Balkans. The only apparent advantage Nazi von Ribbentrop obtained in Moscow last week was a pledge signed by Premier Molotov that Russia will "supply Germany with [raw] materials for which Germany will compensate her by industrial supplies [finished products] over a long time." But. each side being as cagey as it is, there was a long way between promise and delivery.

Turkish Angle. The big diplomatic finesse which the Soviet Dictator was quietly developing in Moscow last week concerned the question of the Dardanelles. If the Turks should permit a British and French fleet to slip into the Black Sea through this narrow waterway, the Allies could then firmly bolster up Rumania and go far toward bluffing the Balkans into halting their supplies of raw materials now going regularly to Germany, notably Rumanian oil up the Danube.

In Moscow was Turkish Foreign Minister Shroku Saracoglu who said he was only going to stay "three days," but changed his mind and settled down as rumors spread that the Kremlin contemplated trying to make a "Balkan Pact," partial purpose of which would be to freeze the Allies out of the Dardanelles while extending Soviet influence in the Balkan sphere. This, plus fear that A. Hitler might be about to give J. Stalin a free hand to take Bessarabia from Rumania, created such a sensation that both Rumanian Foreign Minister Grigore Gafencu and Bulgarian Premier George Kiosseivanov announced they were smarting on the morrow for Moscow, then abruptly canceled their visits and let it be known they would confer with the Turkish Foreign Minister as he passes through the Balkans on his way back to Ankara.

This week, when Premier Molotov received Mr. Saracoglu for a four-hour conference in the Kremlin, it had become fairly clear that Russia and Turkey, who have been close friends and allies for more than a decade, were leaving it up to Britain and France to bid, and bid high, in competition with Germany on the issue of whether the Dardanelles are to be kept open to them or closed.

To see what the Allies have to say a Turkish mission headed by General Kiazim Orbay left for London, reputedly to demand that if Britain and France want Turkey to stand with them they must furnish her at once with large supplies of tanks, planes and artillery and must agree to support the Turkish currency-a clear case of Oriental blackmail.

Fist Over Latvia. So pleased was J. Stalin with his Estonian success that the Dictator told that country's luckless Foreign Minister to stop at Riga on his way home and "invite" the Latvian Government to yield to Russia in return for trade favors, a naval base at Libau.

There was nothing else for Latvian Foreign Minister Vilhelms Munters to do but hustle to Moscow this week with a delegation empowered to sign. This obviously cut two ways: on the one hand Russia has taken efficient measures to exclude the Germans from Estonia and Latvia; on the other hand the Soviet Union has obtained the use of fine, ice-free Estonian and Latvian harbors through which Russian supplies could be routed to Germany after Leningrad freezes up late this month.

This week the Soviet Dictator, giving the panicky North Baltic not an instant's respite, set the Moscow radio to suggesting that Finland and Lithuania too "lease" bases to Russia in return for "trade." A German correspondent in Kaunas, the capital of Lithuania, flashed reports that its Foreign Minister Juozas Urbsys would shortly speed to Moscow.


These articles, which give an overwhelming impression of passive observation and the sense that "it's not our business", give added emphasis to the content of President Bush's speech at Riga on May 7 2005, when he said:
As we mark a victory of six days ago -- six decades ago, we are mindful of a paradox. For much of Germany, defeat led to freedom. For much of Eastern and Central Europe, victory brought the iron rule of another empire. V-E Day marked the end of fascism, but it did not end oppression. The agreement at Yalta followed in the unjust tradition of Munich and the Molotov-Ribbentrop Pact. Once again, when powerful governments negotiated, the freedom of small nations was somehow expendable. Yet this attempt to sacrifice freedom for the sake of stability left a continent divided and unstable. The captivity of millions in Central and Eastern Europe will be remembered as one of the greatest wrongs of history.

Wednesday, May 25, 2005

 

Wingspread Conference

From May 24-26, 30 of the jazz industry's most passionate supporters & leaders will gather at the Wingspread Conference Center in Racine, WI. Join them there for real-time posts from the event. This promises to be a defining moment for jazz. The blog will be continually updated through Friday, May 27.

 

Russia In Denial

Also in EDM today, a thorough analysis by Taras Kuzio of the consequences of Russia's continuing unwillingness to acknowledge that Viktor Yushchenko is now Ukraine's president:
On May 20, the State Duma overwhelming voted to instruct the Russian delegation to the Parliamentary Assembly of the Council of Europe (PACE) to call upon PACE to condemn, "negative tendencies in the internal processes of Ukraine which infringe OSCE principles" (Ukrayinska pravda, May 20). The Russian State Duma is, according to the statement, "deeply concerned at the numerous facts of repression of representatives of the political opposition in Ukraine by the new Ukrainian authorities."

That one country should take such a deep interest in alleged "political repression" in a neighboring country is unusual in international affairs. However, Moscow refuses to regard Ukraine as a truly foreign country. Russia's massive involvement in last year's presidential election, although condemned by the United States, has therefore never been seen as "interference" by Moscow. To do so would be to acknowledge that Ukraine is part of the "Far Abroad." While Yushchenko wants Ukraine to be distanced from Russia, Moscow has difficulty even accepting that Ukraine is part of the "Near Abroad."

The Ukrainian Foreign Ministry (MZS) issued a strongly worded rebuttal that reflects the newly assertive Ukrainian foreign policy under Yushchenko (mfa.gov.ua/information). The MZS classified the State Duma statement as an "unfriendly act" that calls into question Russia's sincerity in supporting democratization, institutionalizing the rule of law, and upholding human rights in Ukrainian society.

The MZS then turned the State Duma statement around by reminding that many of its members until recently ignored the "massive falsification" of election results by the regime of former Ukrainian president Leonid Kuchma. Worse still, "They actively stood on the side of those in Ukraine who adopted anti-democratic practices as a norm in social life, but who today describe themselves as the ‘opposition.' The State Duma statement twists the facts and demonstratively supports these same political forces."

The Russian statement also condemned the alleged attempt in Ukraine at "establishing political and ideological control over the mass media" and "pressure against journalists who criticize representatives of the authorities." This allegation clearly reveals Russia's double standards. Media freedom in Russia is far worse now than under Yeltsin, whereas in Ukraine it has greatly expanded since Yushchenko's election.

Even hollower are Russia's complaints about alleged attempts to impose "ideological control over the mass media" in Ukraine. Russian political technologist Sergei Markov has admitted that, during the Kuchma era, Russia was directly involved in preparing secret instructions (temnyky) that the Ukrainian presidential administration, then headed by Viktor Medvedchuk, would send to media outlets. Ukraine's 1+1television channel has revealed that the presidential administration threatened to shut them down if they did not follow these guidelines.

Yet Medvedchuk has now warned the OSCE that Yushchenko is turning Ukraine into an "authoritarian state" (Ukrayinska pravda, May 24). He also advised the OSCE that Yushchenko's new party of power, People's Union-Our Ukraine, would abuse its access to state-administrative resources in next year's parliamentary elections. This is quite rich coming from the man who was directly involved in the worst abuses of state-administrative resources in the 2004 elections.

The Ministry also expressed its surprise that the State Duma would appeal to PACE, which has often declared its dissatisfaction with the state of democracy in Russia. Since Yushchenko's election, Kyiv has distanced itself from the Kuchma regime's statements backing Russian criticism of the OSCE.

Ukraine, like Georgia and Moldova, has pulled out of the CIS Election Observation Mission (CIS EOM) because it was established to provide an alternative to the OSCE monitors by whitewashing election fraud in the CIS. The CIS observers did not see any election fraud in round two of Ukraine's 2004 election, a conclusion sharply at odds with the OSCE, the Council of Europe, and the United States.

Putin has defended his support for Yanukovych by stating that it was Russia's policy to only deal with the authorities. Evidently, this policy did not carry over to the Yushchenko government. Russia has become the defender of the opposition while refusing to condemn the corruption and election fraud that these ousted leaders have committed. This selective memory was on view in January when Putin met Yanukovych in Moscow before Yushchenko's inauguration (Ukrayinska pravda, January 24). During his chat with Yanukovych, Putin agreed to support the opposition in Ukraine in the 2006 parliamentary elections.

Moscow's allegations of "political repression" are linked to Yushchenko's forthright statements that some 16,000-17,000 Ukrainian officials have been released because they supported the previous regime and were involved in corruption and election fraud. He has promised to continue this housecleaning by replacing the head of every rayon administration. Ukraine's political opposition has failed to convince the Western media and international organizations that this replacement of officials and the launching of criminal charges against some of them are tantamount to "political repression." Only Russia is convinced of this claim.

During a recent conference in Kyiv, the president of the European Court of Human Rights, Luzius Wildhaber, did not observe any human rights abuses in Ukraine. He stated, "Some areas need to change quickly, some require legislative changes, and one needs to give the authorities time if you really seriously want to see change" (Ukrayinska pravda, May 10).

 

Resolutions

In EDM, Vladimir Socor discusses the passage of resolutions in the U.S. Senate and the European Parliament condemning the occupation of the Baltic states and other Soviet crimes not acknowledged by Russia:
On May 21, the United States Senate passed a concurrent resolution, urging, "The government of the Russian Federation should issue a clear and unambiguous statement, admitting to and condemning the illegal occupation and annexation" until 1991 of Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania. Implicitly but clearly refuting Moscow's official version as restated during the anniversary celebrations, the Senate resolution notes that the Soviet Union's incorporation of the Baltic states was "an act of aggression carried out against the will of sovereign nations" and that it "brought boundless suffering to the Baltic peoples through terror, killings, and deportations to Siberia."

The resolution calls on Russia, in its capacity as the Soviet Union's successor state, to repudiate the Ribbentrop-Molotov pact "which provided the Soviet Union with the opportunity to annex Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania," and to make a "declaration of acknowledgment of the illegal occupation." Such steps by Russia "would form the basis to improved relations" between Russia and the Baltic states. The companion resolution in the U.S. House of Representatives is expected to come to a vote soon (BNS, May 21).

The European Parliament passed on May 12 a resolution on the end of the Second World War, in an attempt at restoring balance to West European perspectives on recent history: "For some nations, the end of the war meant renewed tyranny," such as "forced incorporation of the Baltic states by the Soviet Union, and mass killings and deportations of their citizens." While VE-Day meant liberation in Western Europe, the resolution notes, that day only arrived in Central and Eastern Europe "after many decades under Soviet domination or occupation." A communist group in the European Parliament, along with Latvia's Russian militant Tatyana Zhdanoka, opposed the resolution and assailed the Baltic states in the process (BNS, May 12, 13).

One of the resolution's authors, Toomas Ilves of Estonia, noted after the passage, "An understanding of what the end of the war brought for Eastern Europe is only taking shape in Western Europe." His Estonian colleague Tunne Kelam, in turn, observed that the treatment of Europe's post-war history within the European Union is not yet balanced, as victims of communist rule are still being consigned to a second category, and a comprehensive condemnation of communist regimes is overdue. Lithuania's Vytautas Landsbergis, a resolution coauthor, noted that the passage gained added importance in the wake of Russian President Vladimir Putin's assertion that the Soviet Union's collapse was the century's greatest disaster. The resolution's passage was a first step; the next must be for the EU to call on Russia's authorities to overcome that understanding of history, which is "damaging to ordinary Russians and to international cooperation" (BNS, ELTA, May 12, 13).
See also in this blog: Russian Apology Resolution

 

Fallaci Trial

With regard to the advice of an Italian preliminary judge that Oriana Fallaci should stand trial in her native Italy on charges that she defamed Islam in her book La Forza della Ragione, it needs to be noted that there is a difference of opinion between the Italian judiciary and the Italian Ministry of Justice:
Justice Minister Roberto Castelli, who has a prickly relationship with the Italian judiciary, said the ruling represented an attack on freedom of expression.

"In Europe we are seeing the birth of a movement that is looking to silence those who don't follow a single mindset, within which it is forbidden to speak ill of Islam, of homosexuals or of the children of homosexuals," Castelli was quoted as saying in an interview with Radio Padania.

"In Fallaci's book there is very strong criticism but not defamation," Italian news agency ANSA quoted him as saying. (Reuters)

 

The Drift to Bad Times

Poet and translator George Szirtes has written a powerful and eloquent piece for Engage on the subject of the AUT boycott. There is also a poem by him.

From the essay:
We are drifting towards some pretty bad times, drifting, that is, with a little help. Meanings drift or, rather, are being shifted, from what were once reasonably secure positions (no meaning is ever completely secure). So the state that in 1972 was pointed out to me by a mild anarchist tutor as a left-stage societal model has, since 1973 and the petrol crisis that put Europe under pressure, found itself being shifted into the wings of the unspeakable right, and is now regarded by some as genocidal, fascistic, racist, not simply now, but from its very origins; not just in its actions but in its very being.

The products of drifting are loss of focus, blurring, the creation of a haze in which to point at one part of the blur is to point at the whole. So blur becomes smear. So a senior academic last year showing me a batch of poems, including a satire of sorts against Israel, could confide in me: ‘That’s one in the eye for the Jews.’ For Israel is indeed a Jewish state and people naturally grow tired of trying to make fine distinctions between a religion and a state comprised primarily of people of that religion. When I hear Sue Blackwell talk of the ‘centuries of oppression’ of Palestinians, I can see the shifting on a larger scale. I see heavy and monstrous tags being dragged across various fine distinctions, until the distinctions no longer matter.

I don’t think I need to refer to the circumstances of the creation of the state of Israel. That history is better discussed by others. What I know, and know deep in my nerves, is that Jews always are, always have been and are likely to continue to be an endangered species: endangered in Europe above all. Israel is not in Europe. It is however a small country surrounded by hostile others that would wish to be rid of it and its people. That has been the case since its founding and is the case now.

 

IRA

A new report released by the Independent Monitoring Commission concludes that the Irish Republican Army covered up a Belfast killing, is smuggling in new armaments and continues to recruit and train members how to use firearms and make bombs. In addition, the report states that
Paramilitary groups continue to be active in violent and other crime and none have materially wound down their capability to commit violent or other crime. It continues to be the case that dissident republican groups are the most committed to continuing terrorism.
From a recent AP wire:
The report shed new light on a central issue bedeviling Northern Ireland's 12-year-old peace process - whether the outlawed IRA will disarm and disband in support of the province's 1998 peace accord.

It found that the IRA and a half-dozen other paramilitary groups remained highly active from September 2004 to March. While the other groups have no significant political support, the IRA-linked Sinn Fein party represents most of Northern Ireland's Catholic minority, making continued IRA activity a huge political obstacle.

The commissioners, among them a former CIA deputy director, cited evidence that the IRA was smuggling in new weaponry in defiance of the 1998 accord's disarmament goals. The IRA was supposed to have scrapped all its armaments by mid-2000 but didn't
start the process until late 2001 and halted it some two years later.

The report said police in September discovered 10,000 rounds of assault rifle ammunition in an IRA arms dump "of a type not previously found in Northern Ireland and manufactured since the Belfast agreement." These bullets, it said, "may have been only part of a larger consignment."

The IRA "continues to seek to maintain its medium-term effectiveness. It recruits and trains new members, including in the use of firearms and explosives. It continues to gather intelligence," the report said.

It said the IRA committed at least five shootings and six assaults since September and runs a range of criminal rackets such as smuggling fuel and cigarettes and bank robberies - including the world-record theft in December of about $50 million from a Belfast bank. The IRA has denied involvement in the bank robbery.

The commissioners added their take to the IRA's admission that its members stabbed to death a Catholic civilian, Robert McCartney, outside a Belfast bar on Jan. 30.

They accused the IRA of putting "the organization and its members ahead of justice." They said IRA members attacked McCartney "at the direction" of a senior IRA figure in Belfast and afterward cleaned up forensic evidence and intimidated potential witnesses.

The IRA - which initially denied involvement - later expelled three members and offered to shoot two of them as the group faced intense pressure from a public campaign by McCartney's sisters. Sinn Fein also suspended or expelled about a dozen members who were involved in or witnessed the killing.

The commissioners said three groups rooted in hard-line Protestant areas - the Loyalist Volunteer Force, Ulster Defense Association and Ulster Volunteer Force - were responsible for more violence and crime than the IRA and three smaller anti-British gangs. They said, on average, the IRA and these other underground groups combined to shoot or assault four people each week.
(via global-geopolitics)

 

Pipeline Politics

In the Christian Science Monitor, Yigal Schleifer takes a look at "pipeline politics [that] give Turkey the edge." Writing about the new Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan (BTC) pipeline, a $4 billion, 1,093-mile project that will bring Caspian Sea oil to Turkey's Mediterranean coast, Schleifer notes that "the pipeline - built by a consortium of 11 companies, including British Petroleum, the American firm Unocal, and Turkey's national oil corporation - is designed to bring a non-Middle Eastern source of oil to the West. This would loosen Russia's and Iran's grip on the transport of Caspian and Central Asian oil by creating a new route that is friendlier to the United States and Europe."

It can be no coincidence that in the very week when the pipeline opens (the opening takes place on Wednesday), Baku has been shaken by street protests, during which demonstrators were brutally beaten and arrested. While some commentators, including Schleifer, tend to put the blame on President Bush, for "encouraging" political dissent in the region during his recent visit to Georgia, it's perhaps also appropriate to ask once again, as in the case of Uzbekistan, about the timing of the unrest.

In Andijan, the violence was ostensibly caused by "Islamists" - with President Karimov doing his utmost, with Moscow's backing, to capitalize on the "allies in the War on Terror" theme so prominently on display at the May 9 Moscow commemorations, while also causing maximum embarrassment to his "ally" the U.S. government. In Baku, the violence also embarrasses the United States, which supports the pipeline project so disliked by Moscow.

Tuesday, May 24, 2005

 

Ghost Train

Exercise with ghost train

by Catharina Gripenberg (b. 1977, Jakobstad, Finland) [my tr.]


The ideal goodbye is the ghost train journey. One person
takes a seat in the carriage. The other waits on the small wooden platform.
For letters there’s no time. And getting away there is none. There are
no spontaneous stations. Only a very single ticket. Whoever
travels away along the rails will not escape.
If you stand on the platform you can look up at the trees and close your eyes
for a little. Eat a cone with something in it. A short time passes, and
then the departee pops up again. The platform: is just the same.
The carriage, likewise. But the face? Wide open? So say:
Imagine if it had been real. Don’t go leaving again.

If the carriage is empty upon its return, ask yourself the question:
Is the amusement park director a coward?
If he’s not a coward, he’ll take a midnight stroll along the ghost train track
and find the lost one at the foot of a stuffed bear:
The traveller had thrown himself from the carriage in the dark
intending to reappear on the small platform in a few years’ time,
with a cloud and a piece of the latitude on his backside.

The ghost train’s crucial point: Before setting off one doesn’t say
goodbye to anyone. One doesn’t grieve. One doesn’t turn
one’s head and wave. One doesn’t turn one’s head.


from Ödemjuka belles lettres från en till en (Humble belles lettres from one to one), Schildts, 2002.

 

Ineptitude and Violence

Rodolfo at México desde fuera considers the wave of drug cartel-related violence that is currently sweeping Northern Mexico:

No sé necesita ser un genio para observar que en el país nada avanza, que las vías del diálogo y la negociación sensata y productiva se han cerrado y que los pleitos de las élites políticas han ganado una prominencia sin precedentes en la historia reciente del país.

No sólo eso, nos acostumbramos a pensar que el narcotráfico era un problema de Estados Unidos y que en México nunca nos íbamos a ver afectados por el consumo. Finalmente, la hipocresía del gobierno de Estados Unidos que insiste en tratar de tapar el sol con un dedo, desconociendo los altísimos índices de consumo de estupefacientes en su sociedad.

Todo ello se ha combinado para generar las condiciones ideales para la ola de violencia que vive el país. Tanto así que The New York Times ya tomó noticia de la situación y una foto de los casquillos de balas regados en las calles de Nuevo Laredo "adornó" la primera plana del diario este martes.

The blog sees the root of the problem not only in U.S. hypocrisy, but also in the political ineptitude of President Fox, and his inability to steer his country on a straight and consistent course, and to strike political alliances where necessary:


Más allá del dislate, lo que deja ver es una realidad que han aprovechado las bandas de criminales organizados para hacer de las suyas: es cierto, el congreso ha bloqueado muchas de las propuestas formuladas por el presidente de la República, pero también es cierto que Fox no ha logrado entender que en política, como en muchas otras cosas en la vida, necesita uno ser capaz de establecer compromisos, alianzas.

There is much more to read and think about here. Sometimes, in reading about contemporary political and social developments in Mexico, I'm reminded of what used to be written in the 1990s about Yeltsin's Russia, both within Russia and beyond its borders. It's very much to be hoped that after the forthcoming elections Mexico doesn't follow a path similar to the one taken by the present Russian leadership in the wake of Yeltsin's demise.

 

Uzbek Arrests

RFE/RL reports that human rights workers in Uzbekistan are expressing concern about recent arrests there. In addition to the already widely discussed case of Saidjahon Zainabitdinov, there are also fears for the safety of two members of the human rights group Ezgulik (Goodness), who were reportedly beaten as they were on their way to interview witnesses of the 13 May violence. Other cases of intimidation and arrest are currently under scrutiny.

 

The Schoenberg Jukebox

Bob Shingleton at On An Overgrown Path has made the discovery of the Online Arnold Schoenberg Jukebox - an amazing audio compilation of the composer's complete works (well, almost).

 

Andijan - the Regional Impact

In today's issue of EDM, Roger N. McDermott writes that "heightened security and increased concerns among Uzbekistan's immediate neighbors mark the uneasy atmosphere produced by Tashkent's crackdown in Andijan on May 13. Kyrgyzstan's security agencies are particularly anxious to avoid any spillover of political violence across the Uzbek-Kyrgyz border. Tension is high on the border itself, while the impact on the region's security as a whole is beginning to emerge. Moscow has stepped up its security measures in the region by advancing its military basing policy in Kyrgyzstan. Though the situation within Uzbekistan itself has improved since the crisis erupted, denoted by the smother operation to regain control over the border town of Karasuu, once again the attention of both regional and external powers is focused on the future stability of this strategically vital area."

In considering the effect the events in Andijan have had for the security of the region as a whole, McDermott believes that
China and Russia, keen to advance their own economic and geopolitical interests in Central Asia, and to thwart American foreign policy goals in the region, appear ready to support Karimov's regime and those like his in Central Asia. Moscow and, to a lesser extent, China fear a possible "green" or Islamic revolution within Central Asia, and their political and security countermeasures will offer little comfort to those forces seeking to stimulate the development of democracy and respect for human rights in the region. In practical terms, Russian security thinking may be restricted to increasing the size of its own military footprint in Kyrgyzstan and providing more fluid and reliable intelligence to Bishkek.

 

Fiery Summer?

In the new issue of Chechen Society Newspaper, Ruslan Zhadayev speculates on the "Fiery Summer" of Shamil Basayev:
Renewal of military activities not only in Chechnya, but in the North Caucasus and Russia as a whole predicted by both Russian and Chechen militants.

Vladimir Kravchenko, Procurator of Chechnya, announced the news in early April of this year. According to him, Chechen militants are preparing to carry out a series of large-scale terrorist acts.

"The militants plan to advertise themselves," declared Kravchenko, - "and earn the monetary assistance which unfortunately they continue to receive. They have named the period 'Fiery Summer'." Almost immediately afterwards, the Federals announced that they won't permit a deterioration of the situation in Chechen Republic (which they hold under complete control).

Alu Alkhanov, Chechnya's head, likewise expressed faith that the militants won't be able to make the situation in the Republic worse this summer. "The militants have endured a heavy blow this year, their centralized system of command has been destroyed and famous field commanders killed."

Representatives of the other side reacted to the news about their preparation for the large-scale operation "Fiery Summer" a little later. In the beginning of May in an interview with "Radio Liberty",famous Chechen field commander Doku Umarov announced the fighters' intentions "to carry out military activities on the territory of the opponent."

According to him, only by Aslan Maskhadov's demand did they thus far restrict military operations to the territory of Chechnya. Now however "when the murder and kidnapping of peaceful Chechen citizens has attained not only a full-scale but demonstrative character," the decision was made to introduce broad-scale military operations on the territory of Russia.

Thus the separatist websites have posted several new orders of Abdul-Khalim Sadulayev - Aslan Maskhadov's successor to the post of President of Ichkeria.

According to site gazeta.ru, one of the orders announced the creation of a united "Caucasus Front" of the Ichkerian Military Force. The stated document claims that Ossetian, Ingush, Kabardino-Balkarian, Stavropolian, Karachaevo-Cherkessian, Adigean and Krasnodar 'sectors' of the Western Front of the the Ichkerian Military Force are included in the "Caucasus Front" along with commanding fronts within Chechnya proper.

What the leaders of the "Caucasus Front" specifically plan to do - that which would seize practically all of the Northern Caucasus Republics – remains as of yet unknown.
Nevertheless, there are enough factors to predict that if they don't spread their presence deep into Russia, they will at least do so throughout the Northern Caucasus.

Sadulayev directly declared that whilst Europe doesn't help them to start political discussions with Moscow, their plan will remain, "forcing the Kremlin to peace", and that blows will be dealt to the "Achilles Heel of the Kremlin inhabitants and their helpers." This is according to gazeta.ru with a link to separatist websites. What will come of these threats is left for time to tell.

Both the Russian military and the separatists have recently been disseminating information about their great achievements. They are both putting forward ciphers concerning the scale of losses and damage to the enemy which convey a sense of imminent victory.

It is true that in March and April the Russian soldiers and local "powers" carried out a whole row of successful "Special Operations." As a result Aslan Maskhadov was killed as well as several mid-echelon separatist commanders / "emirs". Practically all skirmishes in which "Djamaat Emirs" are destroyed have occurred in or around
Grozny. This in some measure affirms information about the concentration of militants earlier and possible large-scale actions on their part.

The past 2-3 weeks have been especially rich in victorious announcements from the side of the Russian military and local power structures. Announcements about the liquidation of militants are released almost every day. The "hand" of the Special Services overtakes them everywhere: in private homes, apartments, in the mountains, on the plains, in the forests and fields. "Are neutralized" the former VP of Ichkeria Vakha Arsanov ,dangerous international terrorist Danilbek Eskiyev, and the emirs of Shelkovsky, Gudermes and other regions and populated points. Several assumed suicide-terrorists.

However, even believing the reports of the Regional Operational Headquarters about almost daily liquidation of “a long time not engaging by businesses” Vakhi Arsanov or several "Djamaat emirs" - this can hardly signify a real victory for the Federals. After all, for the carrying out of diversionary-terroristic acts, the militants have no deep need of a "centralized command system" - the one which the soldiers and special operatives have been trying to destroy for all these years. The tactics of partisan warfare specifically differ from those of classical because various formations and groups act autonomously, striking at convenient times in
strategic places, proceeding from reasons of expediency in each concrete occasion and without seeking approval for their activities from "high command".

As the Federals, the militants did sharply increase their level of activation with the arrival of the spring-summer season - especially in the mountainous areas of the Republic. In the past 2-3 weeks active military clashes and skirmishes have occurred in Nozhai-Yurt, Shatoi, Achkhoi-Martanovsky and a series of other regions in Chechnya.

It's possible that this activation is linked to the promised "Fiery Summer" of Shamil Basayev, but one must not exclude the fact that this happens practically every year as soon as the leaves turn green. Many observers calculate that if Basayev did indeed intend to carry out a series of large-scale terrorist acts on the territory of Russia, then he will use all possible and impossible means in order to accomplish the feat.

As confirmation of this one may recall the year 2003. In spring of that year Shamil Basayev declared the commencement of an "operation of punishment" under the name "Boomerang". Afterwards a whole wave of terroristic acts swept across Chechnya and Russia.

On 12 May 2003 the load of an explosives-rigged "KAMAZ" blew up an administrative building in the village of Znamenskoe (59 killed, nearly 200 wounded). Three days later female suicide-bombers detonated themselves in a crowd which had gathered for holiday in the settlement of Iliskhan-Yurt (26 killed, nearly 150 wounded). In June, suicide-bombers blew up an autobus full of aviation-technical workers at the military hanger near Mozdok (16 killed, 20 wounded). Then there was the trolley explosion in Essentuki, and terror acts in Moscow - in Tushino and near the hotel "National".

At any rate, summer in Chechnya and maybe throughout the entire Northern Caucasus is expected to be if not "fiery" then at least pretty "hot". According to several sources, just in the past few weeks a few hundred young people left various regions of the Republic and went into the mountains.

Translated by Sarah SLY.

 

Season of Death

Marc Cooper describes the new "season of death" on the U.S.-Mexican border:

Virtually ignored by the national media, the new “season of death” on the U.S.-Mexican border got off to a grim start this past weekend as temperatures in southern Arizona suddenly spiked into triple digits. The resulting toll: a dozen dead from heat exposure and more than 75 rescues just between last Friday and this past Monday.

Border Patrol agents admitted that this past weekend was, indeed, the busiest three days on record when it came to trying to save the lives of stranded crossers.

Bodies of border crossers were found scattered throughout the state, though a majority were found in the desolate western half toward Yuma.

He contrasts the current media silence about this with the attention given to the issue, though from a different angle, in April:
Thousands of fawning stories were showered on last month’s fringe Minuteman Project (which I dissected here and here). But this weekend’s macabre death toll along the same patch of border has elicited only anemic interest among the major media. It’s beyond the border of hypocrisy.

 

Ears of a Dead Donkey

Two reports that point to an obvious contradiction in the foreign policy of the current Russian leadership. From Mosnews, a clear indication that The Baltics Will Receive Nothing of [their] Territorial Claims:
“They will receive not Pytalovo (the territory of Pskov region close to the Latvian border), but ears of a dead donkey (ot mertvogo osla ushi, a Russian set expression meaning 'nothing'),” RIA-Novosti quoted Putin as saying.
At the same time, however, a report in Kommersant points out that last Friday the State Duma ratified a supplemental agreement between Russia and China on the border. At that moment, a part of Russian territory, including half of the island of Bolshoy Ussuriisky, officially became part of China.

It seems that for President Putin and the Russian State Duma some borders are more negotiable (and dispensable) than others.

(via Marius)

Monday, May 23, 2005

 

False Charges

At JBooks.com, Alan Dershowitz dissects the McCarthyite - some would say Stalinist - mode of attack chosen by the "triumvirate" of Noam Chomsky, Norman Finkelstein and Alexander Cockburn in order to discredit him and his book The Case for Israel.
They first claimed—as they had with Peters—that I did not “write this book,” that I did not even “read it,” and that I “had no idea what was in the book.” Recently Finkelstein claimed that I don’t write any of my books: “[Dershowitz] has come to the point where he’s had so many people write so many of his books.… [I]t’s sort of like a Hallmark line for Nazis… [T]hey churn them out so fast that he has now reached a point where he doesn’t even read them.”[34]

The implication was that some Israeli intelligence agency or propaganda unit wrote it and had me sign it—as they claimed was the situation with Peters’ book. The problem for them is that I don’t type or use a computer, so that every word of the text was handwritten by me in my own handwriting—and I still have the manuscript. Even after I publicly offered to make the manuscript available for anyone to examine, Finkelstein repeated the false charge on a C-SPAN television broadcast.[35]

Well, if I did actually write it in my own hand, I must have copied it or plagiarized it. That was the next charge. And guess who I plagiarized it from? Joan Peters, according to Finkelstein, Chomsky, and Cockburn. The problem with their charge is that Peters’ book was entirely demographic and historical, whereas more than 90 percent of my book deals with contemporary events that took place after the publication of Peters’ book. The other, even more serious problem for them is that they could not come up with a single sentence, phrase or idea in my book that came from another source and was used without quotation marks, attribution, and citation. Indeed, I explicitly cited Peters’ book numerous times while disclaiming reliance on its conclusions because I disagreed with some of them. That, of course, means there was no plagiarism. But Finkelstein knew from his previous experience that the charge of plagiarism, if leveled, would be more likely to garner media attention than simple criticism of my conclusions.

Read it all.

 

Politzeki

Politzeki.ru is a new website devoted to former and current political prisoners of the USSR and present-day Russia. It's a joint project of Grani.ru and the press center of the team of lawyers of Mikhail Khodorkovsky and Platon Lebedev, but there is also brief information about Chechen student Zara Murtazaliyeva. In Russian.

(via Prague Watchdog)

 

Belarus Extradites Suspected Chechen Guerrilla

From RFE/RL Newsline May 23 2005:

BELARUS EXTRADITES SUSPECTED CHECHEN HOSTAGE TAKER. Belarus extradited Nurmagomed Khatuyev, a suspected Chechen hostage taker, to Russia on 20 May, Belapan reported, quoting the Prosecutor-General's Office. Khatuyev is reportedly wanted by Russia in connection with the taking of hostages in Budennovsk in 1995 and in a Moscow theater in 2002. JM

Update: Itar-Tass has more:

Belarus extradites Chechen militant to Russia

23.05.2005

MOSCOW, May 23 (Itar-Tass) - Belarussian authorities have extradited to Russian law enforcers Nurmagomed Khatuyev, who took part in the assault by a band led by Chechen warlord Shamil Basayev of town of Budyonnovsk in southern Russia in June 1995.

The chief of the Southern regional branch of the Russian Prosecutor General's Office, Nikolai Khazikov, told Itar-Tass on Monday that Khatueyev, who hails from the Chechen village of Goity, had been formally charged with banditry and hostage taking.

He said Khatyuev was "another bandit who will stand trial for the participation in the attack of Budyonnovsk".

Twenty gunmen involved in the hostage-talking raid of a Budyonnovsk hospital had been earlier arrested and convicted, Khazikov said.

He said 30 other bandits who attacked Budyonnovsk with the Basayev-led band had been spotted and killed as they resisted arrest.

"They included such odious figures as Movsayev and field commanders known by their nicknames as Big Aslambek and Little Aslambek. None of the bandits who took part in the attack of the Stavropol territory's town will escape responsibility," Khazikov said.

Khatuyev was detained at the Belarussian capital's Minsk's airport where he arrived from Istanbul.

He showed to border guards a false passport, but his identity was established by a close look.

The Belarussian mass media said Russian security agencies also suspect Khatuyev of involvement in a hostage-taking raid of a Moscow theatre.

Basayev's band took 1,800 people hostage in Budyonnovsk in June 1995. The assaults left 126 local residents, including policemen, dead and 18 others died in hospital later.

In early 2005, Belarus extradited to Russia Valid Agayev and Kazbek Dukuzov, who are suspected of involvement in the murder of Paul Khlebnikov, an editor of the Russian version of the magazine Forbes.

 

Blowing Up Madrid

There is growing evidence that the March 11, 2004, terrorist attacks in Madrid’s train station were an inside job involving elements in Spain's police force. In NRO, Frank Gaffney presents an analysis of the evidence so far available:
The far-reaching geostrategic repercussions of that incident — which vaporized the ruling conservative party’s electoral lead just days before the polling — gave those seeking similar results elsewhere every incentive to engage in violence against other democracies’ electoral processes.

But what if the perpetrators were neither Islamofacists, as the winning socialists immediately asserted, nor the Basque terrorist organization known as ETA, as the government of José Maria Aznar initially (and fatally) assumed?

On May 16, the Madrid daily El Mundo published a remarkable editorial that draws upon the paper’s ongoing investigation and contains information potentially as explosive as the 3/11 attacks themselves: El Mundo suggests that, almost immediately after the 12 bombs went off in one of the city’s busiest train stations, some in the Spanish police force fabricated evidence, then swiftly hyped it to the domestic and international press. The object seems to have been to support the oppositions’ claims that Islamists angry over the government’s support for the war in Iraq were responsible for the attacks.

At worst, the information uncovered by El Mundo could mean that the deadly bombing was actually perpetrated with the complicity of the same Spanish police bomb squad, Tedax, that was subsequently charged with investigating the crime.
There are clear echoes here of the suspicious circumstances surrounding the Moscow apartment bombings of 1999.

 

War Criminals in Moscow - II

Sources in Belgrade believe that Serb war criminals may be hiding out in Russia.

(via Winds of Change)

See also in this blog: War Criminals in Moscow

Sunday, May 22, 2005

 

Mending Fences

Mexico's President Fox is making fresh efforts to ease the tensions caused by his recent remarks on Mexican immigration to the United States.

 

Local Rebel

The BBC's Tim Whewell gives a fascinating portrait of Uzbek local rebel Bakhtior Rakhimov, one of the so-called "Islamists" currently being imprisoned and tortured by the Uzbek government:

He took me on a tour of the farm. He fondled his prize calves.

He jokingly lifted me over a ditch showing off the strength he has built up as a keen wrestler.

Afterwards I drank green tea under the plum tree and he puffed away on a spliff of green weed - a natural and Islamic alternative, he told me, to the devils of tobacco and alcohol.

He stood once, he said, in an election for parliament but had been heavily defeated because people were afraid to vote for him.

He denied belonging to any organised political or religious group.

He said that if President Karimov sent his troops back into the town, he would stand and fight, with his ceremonial dagger or with a gun.

But all that I could tell was just bravado, just as it was bravado when he said his supporters had gone around persuading liquor stores to close.

I found no difficulty at all locating vodka or brandy in Korasuv.

This week in newspapers all over the world, you can read that Mr Rakhimov proclaimed an independent Islamic state.

The truth, of course, is more subtle and confusing.

As far as I can see, Mr Rakhimov did not proclaim anything and I met few people prepared to agree openly with his ideas.

He was simply the head of an important local family, a big man in a very small town. A town terrified of the consequences of its moment of defiance.

But the Uzbek government does not trade in subtlety, any more than headline writers do. And when a few hours after I left it re-took Korasuv - as everyone knew in their bones it would - Mr Rakhimov was seized by the troops and taken away.

I do not know what has happened to that brave and weirdly quixotic man, but I am afraid the intensity of the Uzbek government's punishments fully matches the intensity of Bakhtior Rakhimov's dreams.

 

War and Identity

The Eurozine article by Lev Gudkov I mentioned in the previous post certainly makes interesting reading. In it the sociologist discusses how the Second World War (or rather the "Great Patriotic War") provides Russia with its identity, and serves to block out the need for national self-analysis and self-reflection:
Victory Day has not become a day of mournful commemoration of the dead, the human suffering, and the material destruction. It is literally a day of victory, of the Soviet army's triumph over Hitler's Germany. Russians address the intentional meaning of victory exclusively to themselves; it only has a meaning within the structures of Russian self-determination. Today there are hardly any people left who feel hatred for the former enemy countries: Germany and, less surprisingly, Italy, Japan, or Romania. Until recently, such feelings had remained intact among the older generations and on the periphery of society. Today anti-American feeling is much more pronounced than anti-German moods, which are characteristic only of 8-10 per cent of the population (mostly old people). Half of all Russians would not even object to putting up a monument to the fallen soldiers on both sides of World War II (although this readiness has also declined during Putin's reign, from 57 per cent to 50 per cent, while resistance to this idea has increased from 26 per cent in 1991 to 35 per cent in 2003).

Russians are not willing to share their triumph with anyone else in the world. Sixty-seven per cent of those surveyed (in 2003) believe that the USSR could have won the war even without the help of the allies. Moreover, as Russian nationalism is intensifying and the war is receding further into the past, it has gradually begun to be integrated into the traditional idea of the Russian "mission" and "rivalry with the West". Parallels between the events of contemporary and medieval history ("By smashing fascism, the USSR protected the peoples of Europe from annihilation", just as "By smashing the Tatar-Mongol hordes, Rus' shielded Europe") have become commonplace both in late Soviet nationalist rhetoric and generally in the post-Soviet period. This view is reinforced by the idea that the Russians defeated an enemy whom none of the most developed, richest, most successful, and "civilized" peoples of Europe were able to withstand.

At the same time, a number of unpleasant facts have been repressed from mass consciousness: the aggressive nature of the Soviet regime, Communist militarism, and expansionism, which were the reason for the USSR's expulsion from the League of Nations after its attack on Finland; the fact that World War II began with a joint attack on Poland by two partners and (then) allies -- Hitler's Germany and the Soviet Union; the human, social, economic, and metaphysical cost of war; and the responsibility of the country's leadership for the beginning and course of the war, and the consequences of the war for other countries.
The article's conclusion is not very optimistic:
In the eyes of Russian society, the war and its victims sacralized not only the army as one of the central, fundamental social institutions, the carcass of the entire Soviet and post-Soviet regime, but also the very principle of a "vertical" construction of society, a mobilizational, command-hierarchical model of social order that does not bestow any autonomy or value upon a private existence or group interests that are independent of the "whole". Russian society has left behind a period of critical re-evaluation of its past, including the war. The debates about the "cost" of the war as well as the pre-war and postwar policies are over. Today the memory of the war and victory is "switched on" mainly by mechanisms of the conservation of the social whole that prevent society from becoming more complex and functionally differentiated. Memories of the war are required above all to legitimate a centralized and repressive social order; they are built into a general post-totalitarian traditionalization of culture in a society that has not been able to cope with budding social change. This is why the Russian authorities constantly have to return to those traumatic circumstances of its past that reproduce key moments of national mobilization. The repression of the war keeps spawning state-sponsored aggression -- the Chechen war and the restoration of a repressive regime.

In conclusion, we may say that a "memory" of the war as a whole era, a focal point for a multitude of private or collective events, is preserved in today's Russia only through the activities of state institutions or social groups linked to the authorities and laying claim to a social or political role or acting as ideologists or executors of state orders. Russian society did not take the sumptuous state-sponsored celebrations of the sixtieth anniversary of Victory as an occasion for a rational analysis of its past and present. The declared programme of solemn events turned into a sequence of routine demonstrations of allegiance to the symbols of past state power that are rapidly losing their force and significance. To put it more precisely, this was a coercive imitation of collective solidarity with the authorities, based on nothing but police-state patriotism and political cynicism.

 

Coddling Russia

In an article (subscription required) published in the Irish Times on May 14, Paul Gillespie discussed the division in Russian society that is being caused by different interpretations of that country's modern history. His analysis covered Russian author Viktor Yerofeyev's recent comments on the obvious schisms revealed by the Victory Day celebrations, and also the gloomy prognostications of Russian sociologist Lev Gudkov, who is quoted as saying: "there is nothing else left to take pride in: the disintegration of the USSR and the failure of the post-Soviet reforms, the noticeable weakening of mass hopes, and the disappearance of the illusions of perestroika have furnished the content of a traumatic experience of national failure".

All in all, a rather critical survey of present trends within the Russian Federation. At the end of the article, however, Gillespie seemed suddenly to change tack, and wrote as follows:

The excellent web-based Eurozine, which brings together and translates essays published in various European cultural magazines, deals in its current issue with how a new grand narrative of European history might be created to deal with such deep-seated disagreements.

It includes Gudkov's illuminating essay on the resurrection of Stalinism.

The historian Timothy Snyder writes that while 1945 has a constitutive meaning for the European Union and its founding states, for most of the states admitted to the Union in May 2004 it "meant a transition from one occupation to another, from Nazi rule to Soviet rule".

Eastern Europeans also know "that German occupation policies were incomparably more savage in eastern Europe than in the west. They know that the Holocaust does not nearly exhaust the record of German mass murder of civilians."

It will require considerable humility and a willingness to learn for western Europeans to accept this alternative eastern narrative - even if they cannot accept an equals sign between Stalin and Hitler.

This was acknowledged in the EU statement which said 1989, not 1945, represents the end of dictatorship for many million of Europeans.

But the EU has to temper this acknowledgment with a deep sensitivity to Russia's identity crisis by keeping lines of communication, politics, economics and culture open to its people, as was partly addressed in this week's agreement in Moscow.

Making an enemy of Russia by excluding it would betray that country's European heritage and its enlightened public opinion which takes that so seriously.

It would lay down dangerous paths for the future by not understanding the past.


With considerable justification, Estonian parliamentarian Mari-Ann Kelam makes this comment:
I strongly disagree with the conclusion of this otherwise interesting article... - we MUST NOT coddle Russia. The fact that Russia is the only significant country to have dropped from "partly free" to "not free" on Freedom House's list in December 2004 is stark proof of the dismaying results of coddling Russia. We must take a firm stance and not lie to the Russians. Unfortunately the West continues to give mixed signals to Putin, letting him live in this delusion that he's "fooled the West." Russia is a threat to democratic states in the region and the threat will only grow worse. Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, Ukraine, Georgia are all front-line states which are being undermined by Putin's government and quasi-private surrogates like the energy companies Gazprom and LUKoil, etc.

 

Murder in Chechnya

Russia: Court Clears Soldiers Of Murder In Chechnya

By Robert Parsons

A jury in a Russian military court has found soldiers from an elite
military unit not guilty of murdering six Chechen civilians at a
checkpoint in Chechnya in 2002. Unusually, the men admitted carrying out
the killings but denied responsibility for them, saying they were acting
under orders. Human rights activists fear the decision will encourage
further abuses in Chechnya.


Prague, 20 May 2005 (RFE/RL) -- Few will be surprised by the verdict of
Russia's North Caucasus District military court. Human rights abuses by
the Russian armed forces in Chechnya are well-documented, but legal
action against the military is rarely taken -- and even more rarely
successful.

The ruling deals a heavy blow to the hopes of human rights activists
that the armed forces might be becoming more accountable.

"A decision like this by the jury can only mean one thing: that on the
orders of their superiors, our special forces, our elite units, and our
policemen can kill freely, can knowingly kill innocent, peaceful
citizens," Oleg Orlov of the Moscow human rights organization Memorial
said. "In my opinion, this is a terrible decision that has set a
terrible precedent."

Nobody disputes the circumstances of the case. In January 2002, Captain
Eduard Ulman and his unit of elite troops were on an
intelligence-gathering mission in the mountainous district of Shatoi in
southern Chechnya. When a minivan failed to stop at their checkpoint
they opened fire, killing one man instantly and wounding two. Three
others, including a pregnant woman, were unhurt.

Ulman radioed his headquarters to inform them of the incident and seek
instructions. Acting on the orders received, the Russian soldiers shot
the survivors, loaded their bodies into the minivan, and set it alight.

The district military court cleared the soldiers of murder and of trying
to cover up the evidence by burning the bodies. The jury, which
relatives of the dead say did not include anyone from the Caucasus,
concluded that they had acted in accordance with their military duties
and the circumstances in which they found themselves.
Memorial's Orlov says the court's decision shows that the Chechen people
have been abandoned by the state.

Speaking to the Interfax agency, Captain Ulman said he welcomed the
verdict and that all the men involved continued to serve in the Russian
armed forces.

It was not the first time that this particular case had been brought to
court. Last year, another jury, this time in the southern Russian city
of Rostov-na-Donu, also found the men not guilty. But the military
branch of Russia's Supreme Court challenged the decision, forcing the
retrial. The Russian military will now hope that the affair can quickly
be forgotten.

That seems unlikely, however. The case has stirred up widespread popular
resentment and a lawyer for the relatives of the victims says they will
appeal against the verdict. Today, an angry crowd gathered in Grozny to
protest the decision. Perhaps even more alarming for the Russian
authorities, the case has outraged even their supporters in the
pro-Moscow Chechen administration. Taus Djabrailov, chairman of the
Governing Counsel of Chechnya, is demanding justice.

"They killed absolutely innocent people. They were on their way home
after work. Not only did they murder them, they even tried to burn their
bodies. It's an horrific crime! And I think they will yet have to answer
for their actions, given the seriousness of what they have done. That's
the view of both the leadership and the people of Chechnya. I hope they
will be punished for killing innocent people," Djabrailov said.

The ordinary people of Chechnya are unlikely to be impressed, though, by
Djabrailov's expressions of concern. The armed units of his own
pro-Moscow administration operate with no less impunity than the Russian
military. Memorial's Orlov says the court's decision shows that the
Chechen people have been abandoned by the state.

"It's obvious the civilian population feels totally unprotected," Orlov
said. "But it did anyway. In truth, this verdict has merely confirmed
what Chechens already knew: that the Russian state does not defend the
rights of the civilian population of the Chechen Republic."

Winning hearts and minds in Chechnya does not appear to figure high on
the list of priorities of the Russian military. President Vladimir Putin
talks of the need for massive investment in the local economy, of the
gradual normalization of Chechen life, and the need for strengthening
local self-government. All very desirable, no doubt, but this trial has
again exposed the reality of Chechen life and it is starkly at odds with
Putin's vision.

http://www.rferl.org/featuresarticle/2005/5/C42FCA79-A056-404C-938C-A555FA55ECD0\.html

 

Andijan: More Details

A report by Peter Boehm and Andrew Osborn in the Independent on Sunday gives some more details of the bloody crackdown by Usbek forces on protestors in Andijan on May 13:
Two key witnesses interviewed by this newspaper - an "insurgent" who played a key role in the "uprising" and a pro-government former policeman taken hostage by the insurgents - have filled in other gaps in horrifying detail. The crowds, it has been established, were mown down by powerful coaxial 7.62mm machine guns mounted on two Russian-built BTR-80 armoured personnel carriers. Such cannons can unleash 2,000 rounds barely pausing for breath before they need to be reloaded.

A military helicopter was used for reconnaissance purposes and Uzbek troops armed with Kalashnikov assault rifles opened fire on the demonstrators creating a deadly field of fire with the BTR-80s from which there was no escape. The soldiers made sure they had done their work well. After the shooting had finished they went from body to body delivering "control shots" to the back of people's heads and scoured the town's streets for survivors to finish off. Uzbekistan's President Islam Karimov contends that nobody gave the order to open fire.

In reality he was in command of the situation having flown to Andizhan from the capital Tashkent and almost certainly personally authorised the use of such deadly force. The "insurgents" themselves were not Islamist radicals as claimed by the authorities but largely devout Muslims following the teachings of a jailed former maths teacher called Akram Yuldashev.
But the report notes that
Far from being spontaneous, however, their "uprising" was meticulously planned and they too were not averse to murdering people. The IoS has learnt that they killed 54 men and women, most of them prison guards, when seizing a local prison to free its inmates.

We have also discovered that the insurgents encouraged the crowd to vent their fury on the 40 or so hostages they had captured - policemen, judges and soldiers. Hostages were beaten and received gunshot and stab wounds before being made to parade through Andizhan's streets, an event that immediately preceded what was to become the now notorious massacre.

The IoS has managed to piece together the most complete sequence of events assembled so far. The "uprising" began in the early hours of Friday morning when at around 12.30 a group of around 30 insurgents attacked a police station seizing weapons. An hour later they attacked a military garrison capturing more weapons and equipment - Kalashnikovs, Makarov pistols, hand grenades and even an army lorry.

Their next stop was the local prison where they released up to 2,000 inmates including 23 prominent local businessmen accused of Islamist extremism. The businessmen's trial was a key trigger for unrest. Sentence had yet to be passed but the insurgents, some of whom were friends or relatives, were sure they were going to be given stiff jail terms, which they considered unjust.

But at the prison the insurgents did their own killing, murdering guards many of whose weapons were actually unloaded, a government-ordered precaution to prevent them from falling into inmates' hands. Taking hostages along the way they then tried to seize three key local buildings, Andizhan's administrative headquarters, the local branch of the Interior Ministry and the office of the National Security Service. They succeeded in occupying the administrative headquarters but met armed resistance at the other two buildings and were repelled. When inside they phoned relatives telling them to join them and that was when crowds that would later swell to several thousand began to form in central Andizhan.

Saturday, May 21, 2005

 

Uzbek Protests Continue

BBC reports that protests are continuing in the border town of Korasuv, as hundreds of residents demand the release of Bakhtior Rakhimov.

 

There Was No Way Back

From a recent AP report on the massacre in Andijan:

As the unrest entered a second week, Atamatov, one of the prisoners whose escape triggered the first protests, recalled his odyssey from successful businessman to inmate to refugee - and denied that radical Islam had played any role in his woes.

Last June, he said, after three days of brutal interrogation focusing on his business partners, he was charged with religious extremism.

"I told the court that I'm not an extremist," said Atamatov, who owned a small confectionary factory that employed 23 people and was a sponsor of local children's soccer and karate clubs. "I asked the judge: How can a man who implements the president's decrees on creating more jobs, on developing sports among children, be an extremist?"

The trial had opened in February, and by last week, a sentence was due. The trial had already brought thousands into the streets of Andijan for peaceful protests, and the protest leaders promised massive resistance if the men were convicted.

But the sentence never came. Around midnight on May 12, Atamatov said he heard about 10 shots and then someone opened the door of his prison cell with a crowbar. He and another 11 inmates in the cell came out to the street.

Someone there, whom Atamatov said he didn't know, said: "'Those who want can come with us to the governor's office.'" And so he went, and found himself among thousands of people who demonstrated all day.

Atamatov said government troops shot at them in the morning, killing about a dozen people, and opened fire again about noon, killing a similar number. Two hours later, he said, they took aim from a truck and killed a 5-year-old boy who was running along a street. When his mother ran screaming toward her son, soldiers shot her, too, Atamatov said.

He estimated that 150-200 people died on the square when troops encircled it in late afternoon, and that many more were killed as they ran for their lives down a main avenue, Chulpon Shokh Prospect.

"There were three military positions there: when they fired at us at the first one, only a few people died; at the next one another 10-15 died, and at the third position they had armored personnel carriers and snipers sitting in trees - lots of us died there," he said.

After an all-night trek, they reached the Kyrgyz border. A resident of the frontier village of Teshik Tosh said he would show them a way to cross the border, but he led them into an ambush and was himself killed.

"My 48-year-old mother was with me. She was wounded and we had to leave her behind. An aunt was killed on the border," Atamatov said.

Then a local woman came to them and said that the governor of Pakhtabad would let them cross the border, but warned that Kyrgyz border guards might shoot at them.

"There was no way back, so we went ahead," he said.
(via global-geopolitics)

 

Oppression in the Caucasus

Writing from Nalchik, capital of Russia's Kabardino-Balkar Republic,Telegraph correspondent Julius Strauss describes how Putin's "War on Terror" is tainted by brutality and corruption:

To the West, President Vladimir Putin presents the face of a staunch partner in the war on radical Islam, waging a legitimate fight against extremists in the south of his country.

As evidence of what he is up against he cites the brutal seizure of the school in Beslan last year, the downing of two Russian airliners by Chechen suicide bombers and numerous other attacks that the Kremlin regards as terrorism pure and simple.

But even as he stands shoulder-to-shoulder with western leaders abroad, at home his men are conducting a dirty and brutal war against innocent civilians that, far from combating terrorism, is driving them into the hands of a tiny minority of radicals.

The effect of these policies has been to bring the entire Russian Caucasus to boiling point and create an extremist threat in regions that have no history of militant Islam.

Republics such as Dagestan, Ingushetia, Kabardino-Balkaria and Karachayevo-Cherkessiya may have so far avoided the international limelight even as Chechnya has become a byword for brutality and terror.

But analysts believe each of them is now on the brink of escalating into a conflict that could sweep through the whole region.

Alexei Malashenko, an expert on Islam with the Carnegie Centre in Moscow, said: "The entire Caucasus is ready to explode."

Nalchik, the capital of the small Muslim-dominated republic of Kabardino-Balkaria and the place where Ruslan was born and raised, was until recently a peaceful provincial backwater.

But now, egged on by a Kremlin that will brook no dissent, local security forces are running amok and terrorising the entire population with impunity.

In the vanguard of this new wave of Soviet-style oppression is the local branch of the notorious organised crime squad, known by its Russian acronym UBOP.

It was UBOP officers who beat Rasul to death because he refused to sign a document implicating himself in terrorist activities. His only known crime was to have once met a man who allegedly went on to become an Islamic radical.

At one stage during Rasul's torture he was even hauled, semi-conscious, in front of Anatoly Kyarov, the acting head of the regional UBOP. "Has he signed?" Kyarov asked, according to Rasul. When they answered no, he told the men beating him: "Continue with him then."

Arriving in today's Nalchik is akin to stepping back in time to when Soviet paranoia was at its height.
Read it all.

 

Russian Apology Resolution

From: The Joint Baltic American National Committee, Inc. [mailto:jbanc@jbanc.org]
Sent: Saturday, May 21, 2005 10:15 AM
To: kelam@neti.ee
Subject: U.S. Senate Passes Russian Apology Resolution
Importance: High


JBANC PRESS RELEASE: For Immediate Release

contact: Karl Altau/tel. 301-340-1954
May 21, 2005


Senate Passes Russian Apology Resolution


Washington, DC (JBANC) --- The United States Senate has passed a non-binding concurrent resolution on May 19 asking that the Russian Federation issue a clear and unambiguous statement admitting and condemning the illegal occupation and annexation from 1940 to 1991 of Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania.

Expressing the position of Congress, the legislation was first introduced on May 12. Reintroduced on May 19 as Senate Concurrent Resolution 35 by Senate Baltic Freedom Caucus co-chairman Gordon Smith (R-OR), it was co-sponsored by Democratic Senators Richard Durbin of Illinois and Dianne Feinstein of California. Senator Durbin, Assistant Minority Leader, is the other Baltic Freedom Caucus co-chairman.

The companion legislation, House Concurrent Resolution 128, was referred to the House International Relations Committee after being introduced on April 12 by House Baltic Caucus co-chairman John Shimkus (R-IL). H. Con. Res. 128 already has 19 co-sponsors. A vote is expected this summer.

The importance of such action was made clear by the visit of President Bush two weeks ago to Latvia and the Russian Federation. In Riga, President Bush emphasized the importance of making amends regarding past misdeeds, even evoking the memory of an unjust Yalta agreement. He also stated that the captivity of millions in Central and Eastern Europe [by the Soviet Union] will be remembered as one of the greatest wrongs of history.

President Bush's Riga speech:

http://www.whitehouse.gov/news/releases/2005/05/print/20050507-8.html

The May 9 Moscow commemoration of the 60th anniversary of the end of the war in Europe brought the matter to the international news forefront. There was a great surge in media interest over this legacy.

The Russian Federation, however, has never wavered from the official Soviet view that the Baltics voluntarily joined the USSR. This selective memory has been evident again this month in the words of the Russian leadership and in much of the Russian media.

Following the August 23, 1939 inking of the Molotov-Ribbentrop Pact (MRP) between the Stalins USSR and Hitlers Germany, Nazi Germany invaded Poland on September 1, 1939. The Soviet Union reciprocated by invading Poland from the east on September 17. Moscow then forced the neutral Baltic governments to cede bases, and on November 30, 1939, the USSR invaded Finland, to begin the four-month Winter War. The Baltic countries were occupied by force in July 1940 and then, following sham elections, were annexed in August that year. The U.S. issued a statement on July 23, 1940 not recognizing this devious takeover.

Support for a Russian condemnation of the MRP was also given by the six-member U.S. congressional delegation that recently visited Lithuania. The delegation included Congressmen Jack Kingston (R-GA), Spencer Bachus (R-AL), Tim Holden (D-PA), David Scott (D-GA), Clay Shaw (R-FL), and Bill Shuster (R-PA).

JBANC, in helping to guide the introduction of the congressional legislation, strongly believes that the occupation of the Baltic countries by the Soviet Union and its resultant terror, mass executions, deportations, and denial of human rights must not be forgotten, glossed over, or distorted.

The Joint Baltic American National Committee, Inc. represents the Estonian American National Council, Inc., the American Latvian Association, Inc. and the Lithuanian American Council, Inc.

###

*****************************

JOINT BALTIC AMERICAN NATIONAL COMMITTEE, INC.

Representing:
Estonian American National Council, Inc.
American Latvian Association, Inc.
Lithuanian American Council, Inc.

400 Hurley Avenue
Rockville, MD 20850

Tel: (301) 340-1954
Fax: (301) 309-1406
E-Mail: jbanc@jbanc.org
Net: http://jbanc.org

*****************************

 

Things That Never Change

In FrontPage Magazine, Stephen Schwartz blasts Vladimir Putin's recent attempts to rewrite history and restore the Stalinist legacy in Moscow and Europe:

The United States officially rejected the Soviet absorption of the Baltic states and permitted Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania to maintain diplomatic representation in Washington until 1991, when the collapse of the Soviet empire allowed their return to freedom. The Baltic peoples had nothing to celebrate about the Soviet triumph in Eastern Europe. Estonia and Lithuania, for instance, refused to send delegates to the recent hoopla in Moscow to commemorate the end of the Second World War.

Putin now seeks to reassert Russian imperialist "rights" in the border countries -- known in Russia as the "near abroad." He is infuriated with President Bush's forthright admission that the Yalta agreement, which divided Europe between the democracies and Stalin, was a tragic error; he is also enraged by the president's solidarity with the Balts and Georgians, and U.S. condemnation of the dictatorship of Aleksandr Lukashenko in Belarus.

A reflection of Kremlin anger came on May 12 when Russian secret police boss Alexander Patrushev denounced the United States and Britain, along with Kuwait and Saudi Arabia, for espionage against Russia. In other words, Bush and Blair are, in the Russian mind, moral equivalents of the Wahhabi terror agents coming from Riyadh and recruiters for the extremist Muslim Brotherhood based in Kuwait. Before 1935, Stalin similarly argued that the democracies and the fascist powers were all the same; the only change is that Islamofascism has replaced the fascists of the past.

Patrushev also repeated the now-common Russian complaint against foreign involvement in democratization of the ex-Soviet republics. But Putin has led the way in the Stalinization of debate over the future of Russia and its neighbors.

According to the Russian president, who calls himself a proud veteran of the Soviet secret police, the Baltic states were never independent and were never invaded or occupied by the Soviets. As quoted by Vladimir Socor of the Washington-based Jamestown Foundation, the Russian leader declared, "'Russia turned over some of its territories to Germany,' including the territories of what became the Baltic states. 'In 1939, Germany returned them to us, and these territories joined (voshli v sostav) the Soviet Union.'" Socor also noted "the Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs statement of May 5, which similarly claimed that the Soviet Union could not possibly have occupied what it already possessed."

A century and a half ago the Russian liberal Alexander Herzen wrote, "The revolution of Peter the Great replaced the obsolete squirearchy of Russia -- with a European bureaucracy; everything that could be copied from the Swedish and German laws, everything that could be taken over from the free municipalities of Holland into our half-communal, half-absolutist country, was taken over. But the unwritten, the moral check on power, the instinctive recognition of the rights of man, of the rights of thought, of truth, could not be and were not imported." In Russia, some things may never change.
See also: this post

 

Uzbekistan Appeal

From: Eric Chenoweth [eric@idee.org]
Sent: Friday, May 20, 2005 6:22 PM
To: idee@idee.org
Subject: Uzbekistan Appeal -- Urgent

I am sending to you below an appeal regarding Uzbekistan from Tolekan Ismailova, director of the Civil Society Against Corruption, one of Kyrgyzstan's leading NGOs and a member of IDEE's Centers for Pluralism Network. We ask that you sign the appeal and return it to: "Civil Society Against Corruption" info@anticorruption.kg and also cc: idee@idee.org.

We encourage you to send this message to others who you think would sign the appeal. Time is of the essence.

Thank you very much.

Eric Chenoweth



TO: THE UNITED NATIONS, OSCE, U.S.PRESIDENT BUSH, U.S. CONGRESS, AND TO OUR UZBEK FRIENDS


May 17, 2005

We, the participants in the Network of the Center for Pluralism, and friends -from over twenty countries from Kyrgystan to Serbia and Montenegro, from Lithuania to Crimea - that is from countries which were under communist dictatorships are outraged by the recent events in Uzbekistan and by the lack of adequate response from the democratic countries.

As democratic activists, former dissidents and oppositionists, journalists, human rights activists, members of parliament and ordinary citizens, we do not accept the Uzbek government explanations that the events were provoked by "Islamic radicals", and that shooting unarmed women and children is part of the "global war on terrorism".

We know enough about Uzbekistan to be able to understand unarmed people's protests against injustice and against dictatorship. We know enough history to remember the millions of people murdered as "trockists" in the Soviet Union. Calling the popular protests "Islamic revolts" is a way to gain the West's sympathy and silence about torture and relentless persecution of human rights activists and critics of the Uzbek's regime.

We appeal to the United Nations to put immediately the Uzbek's government repression against its own population on the agenda, to activate different U.N. agencies to act accordingly to their mandate;

We appeal to the OSCE to send immediately observers and monitors to the towns and cities of the Fergana Valley, to the border crossings between Uzbekistan and Kyrgystan and to Tashkent and larger cities were peaceful demonstrations against the bloody government response are broken up by the security services.

We appeal to the OSCE to establish an Inquiry Commission to assess the real danger of "Islamic terrorism" in the Fergana Valley (or lack of it).

We appeal to President Bush to give credibility to his words and denounce the Uzbek dictatorship and to understand that the U.S. cannot be a partner, or a friend of a cruel dictatorship. The Uzbek people have the same aspirations and the same rights as the citizens of Georgia, Poland or the U.S.

We appeal to the U.S. Congress to open hearings on the recent events in Uzbekistan, and to condemn the bloodshed of peaceful demonstrators.

We want to tell the Uzbek people: We know how hard it is to gain freedom and democracy; we know how many sacrifices you have made. We know that you are not standing up for any caliphates, or foreign movements. We know that you are going on the streets because you want to feed your families, because you don't want millions of educated youngster s to leave every year for Russia and Turkey in search of jobs, because you want to elect your representatives, because you do not want to fear the policeman or the secret agent, because you want simple justice and freedom.

We want to tell you that you have many friends all around the world.

For contact and information:
Human rights center "Citizens against corruption", Tolekan Ismailova, info@anticorruption.kg
Institute of Democracy in Eastern Europe, Irena Lasota, irena@idee.org

(Via MAK)

 

Free Thoughts

A remarkable, vivid and moving series of photographs of the ongoing Cuban Democracy Convention outside Havana has been published by Sardinian blog Free Thoughts.

(via Publius)

 

The Rose Garden

Until Norm linked to it in an AUT-related post the other day, I actually hadn't been aware of the website of Mona Baker. As a literary translator, it does make me wonder about the political views of some of my colleagues - I suppose that because I don't operate in an academic environment I've been sheltered from some of this political extremism and anti-Israel activity.

Friday, May 20, 2005

 

Rally in Korasuv

The BBC reports a new protest in Uzbekistan:

Several hundred people have held a rally in the Uzbek town of Korasuv, where residents threw out their leaders last week in a popular protest.

More than 500 people gathered outside government buildings, a day after Uzbek troops took back control of the town.

Unconfirmed reports said up to 80 people had been arrested.

The Uzbek government has rejected calls for an international inquiry into last week's bloody crackdown on protesters in the nearby city of Andijan.

The alleged massacre in Andijan triggered last week's uprising in Korasuv. Although the authorities are back in control of Korasuv, protesters are angry at the arrest of two of the leaders of the rebellion.


 

Chechnya Rally

Thousands Rally in Chechnya to Protest After Russia Acquits Troops of
Murdering Civilians

Created: 20.05.2005 15:26 MSK (GMT +3),


MosNews

Thousands of people gathered in the Chechen capital Friday to protest
the acquittal of a Russian officer who killed six civilians in the
republic, agencies report.

A jury found a group of special purpose troops commanded by Captain
Eduard Ulman not guilty on Thursday of murdering six civilians in
Chechnya.

The organizers of the sanctioned rally estimate several thousand will
gather in the centre of Grozny, among them students and teachers of
high schools, citizens of Grozny and Chechen villages.

Captain Ulman's unit killed a civilian and subsequently
extra-judicially executed five more in an incident in January 2002. In
April 2004, they were acquitted by a jury, although they did not deny
killing the civilians. They said they had been following orders. The
case is currently being retried with sentencing expected to take place
later this month.

 

What Happened

GLEN HOWARD: Well, what happened was basically the demonstrations began after the people were released from prison, they gathered there it was an extremely volatile situation after they stormed the prison, releasing about 2,000 prisoners--

MARGARET WARNER: A lot more than the 23 businessmen.

GLEN HOWARD: Exactly. And what happened is many of these people after they had also gone to an armory and they seized large amounts of arms, about 300 Kalashnikovs and large amounts of ammunition. But what happened is that some of these people started mixing with the demonstrators.

MARGARET WARNER: Who had been will there a while, right?

GLEN HOWARD: They have been there demonstrating. President Karimov had flown out to the region; he had apparently met there the day before.

And what begins after that is still unclear. The problem with this unrest and the whole tragedy of what occurred is we're still trying to separate fact from fiction over what transpired.

Many human rights people were there, prominent western organizations were based in the region reported eyewitness reporting said that the Uzbeks who sent their special forces from the police started firing immediately.

MARGARET WARNER: On this crowd.

GLEN HOWARD: On this crowd. And then what responded -- what the Uzbeks came, countered to that is many of these demonstrators were armed, and so they were firing back.

And so with these demonstrations it became very, very difficult to separate what really transpired. But we do know that there were large amounts of casualties, we don't know exactly how many yet and we're still trying to understand the situation.

It's been complicated because the Uzbek government has not been fully transparent, forthcoming in trying to help western diplomats understand what happened there.

Glen Howard, Jamestown Foundation's president, speaking on PBS's Newshour on May 19.

______________________________


Just to be clear here, they're saying that the government troops were mutilating bodies before the people were even dead?

That's absolutely correct. And it was confirmed by several different people.

Who all saw this in the same hospital morgue?

Yes. It's only one hospital morgue, which is rather small apparently, I don't know, I've never been inside, but that's what the witnesses said, and they were saying that people were still breathing, they were still alive.

Do you have any reason to doubt what they say?

Well, actually no, because from what I gather, there were so many dead bodies and injured bodies lying down in the streets, and the government was absolutely desperate to get them out... they were absolutely desperate to get rid of them, and this might be the reason they acted in such a brutal way.


Former BBC Central Asia correspondent Shahida Tulaganova, replying to questions on BBC World Service Radio's The World Today (use the Radio Player on the 22.00 hours bulletin)

Thursday, May 19, 2005

 

Andijan: the Russian View

Writing in EDM, Sergei Blagov gives this roundup of Russian media reaction to the events in Andijan:

As the Kremlin sides with Uzbekistan's President Islam Karimov over the recent uprising in the Central Asian state, official Russian media outlets have linked up to back this point of view. Russian President Vladimir Putin and Karimov discussed the situation by telephone on May 14 and expressed "serious concern" over the possible destabilization of Central Asia. But other comments by both politicians and media analysts range from unconditional support to strong criticism of the recent Uzbek crackdown on protesters in Andijan.

Russian politicians appear split over the situation in Uzbekistan. Dmitry Rogozin, head of Rodina party, claimed that Karimov became a target of radical Islamists when he allowed U.S. military bases on Uzbek soil. Konstantin Zatulin of the pro-Kremlin United Russia party argued that Karimov "did it all right" to forestall destabilization. Alexei Mitrofanov, deputy of the Liberal-Democratic party, blamed U.S. interference in Afghanistan for general destabilization across Central Asia.

Yet, Sergei Mitrokhin of Yabloko warned against Russian support for the Karimov regime, which could trigger civil war in Uzbekistan. Boris Nemtsov, of the Union of Right Forces, picked up this notion and argued that the Karimov regime was doomed and that by supporting Karimov the Kremlin had picked a loosing scenario, as it had in Ukraine.

Karimov defended his heavy-handed response and accused radical Islamists of a terrorist attack. He strongly denied that Uzbek troops had targeted civilians in Andijan. Also on May 17, he lashed out at what he described biased media coverage by international and Russian media. Karimov specifically criticized Russia's NTV channel and accused it of intentionally inflating casualty figures.

Russian media outlets were divided over the Andijan crisis. Some, like NTV and RenTV channels, were critical of Karimov's crackdown and questioned the wisdom of the Kremlin's support of Karimov. The second group, notably official media outlets, tacitly backed Uzbek authorities and suggested continued Russian support of Karimov's "secular regime." The third group highlighted broader geopolitical maneuverings as crucial factors behind the Uzbek riots.

Initially, the mainstream media in Russia, notably First Channel and RTR television, appeared to be siding with Karimov and interpreted the events in Uzbekistan mainly as a plot by Islamic extremists.

The one-sided view seen on Russia's major television channels earned a measure of criticism from other Russian media outlets. Izvestiya ran a series of articles, headlined: "Events in Uzbekistan: Popular revolt or extremist rebellion?" The daily described events in Andijan as a revolution, adding that the coverage by Russian official media outlets was somewhat detached from reality. Izvestiya specifically criticized Russian First Channel, which merely followed Uzbek official statements, described Uzbek protesters as extremists, and ignored alternative versions of the Andijan events (Izvestiya, May 17).

Presumably responding to such criticism, the First Channel on Tuesday reported not only the official death toll of 169 for Andijan, but also mentioned unofficial estimate of 745 fatalities (TV First Channel, May 17).

Izvestiya wrote that the riots were sparked by the "poverty fatigue" plaguing the destitute majority of the Uzbek population. The daily also interviewed a number of Russia's newsmakers who happened to be split between strong criticism of atrocities in Uzbekistan and equally strong support of Karimov's hard-line approach. The daily quoted actor Alexander Abdulov, who speculated that the Uzbek riots were probably provoked by the United States. He claimed that the events were the direct continuation of regime changes in Georgia and Kyrgyzstan, adding that the ultimate goal of this stratagem was to encircle Russia (Izvestiya, May 17). Abdulov's allegations remain a minority opinion.

However, Trud argued that events in Uzbekistan did not qualify as a revolution nor were they yet another "colored revolution." The daily highlighted a leading role of radical Islamists in the Uzbek riots. Russia does not plan to drop its support of Karimov's secular regime as a cornerstone of stability in Uzbekistan, according to Dmitry Polikanov, an analyst at VTsIOM, Russia's leading polling agency (Trud, May 16).

Independent media outlets strongly criticized the Uzbek crackdown. The Uzbek rebellion was quelled with unprecedented cruelty, wrote Vremya novostei in an article entitled "Andijan slaughter." There is little hope of learning the true scale of the Andijan tragedy from independent sources, because Uzbek authorities did their best not to have witnesses on the scene of the crackdown (Vremya novostei, May 16).

Kommersant (May 16) commented that the Russian authorities strongly supported the bloodshed in Andijan because someone had to stop the popular revolutions from spreading. Meanwhile, Nezavisimaya gazeta (May 17) wrote that Karimov was not going to repeat Kyrgyzstan's President Askar Akayev's failures, adding that neither the United States nor Russia was interested in a victory by radical Islamists. The daily speculated that some high-ranking Uzbek officials might have opposed Karimov and had secret contacts with the opposition, thus indicating the possibility of a coup in Uzbekistan.

Geopolitical maneuverings were also cited as factors behind Uzbek troubles. Karimov's policies were torn between the United States and Russia, according to Andrei Makarkin, deputy head of the Center of Political Technologies. Uzbekistan made its choice just a week ago when Tashkent announced its decision to quit the regional cooperation organization, GUUAM. Now Karimov needs Russia's political support more than ever hence Uzbekistan could even join Russia-dominated the Collective Security Treaty Organization and the Eurasian Economic Commonwealth groupings, Makarkin said (Gazeta, May 17).

The official Russian government mouthpiece, Rossiiskaya gazeta, wrote that U.S. diplomacy was in a strange position, as Uzbekistan remained Washington's strategic partner. The Khanabad air base is important for the United States in terms of the "greater Middle East" strategy, the daily claimed (Rossiiskaya gazeta, May 18).

Russia is concerned over the destabilization of Central Asia and would back Karimov's regime. His argument that the uprising against the Uzbek regime was engineered by radical Islamists is difficult to confirm. But the dissenting critical voices raised by liberal politicians and some Russian media outlets are unlikely to affect Moscow's position.

 

The Trap

I’ve been reading a curious account by Australian ex-diplomat Gregory Clark of his years at the Australian Embassy in Moscow during the early 1960s. The memoirs are strange – and in some ways almost surrealistic - because while on the one hand Clark repeatedly professes his admiration for the Soviet system and the Soviet Union in general, the personal experiences he describes reveal so many of the defects of the system and the society it created that it’s hard to give credence to his enthusiasm. Two extracts may illustrate what I mean. Here’s Clark discussing his view of the Soviet Union, and its leaders:

I often tell people that the two years in Moscow were the best two years of my life.

KGB attentions aside, there was something curiously comforting about living in a society where you did not have to be constantly on your guard against the exploitative tricks and scams of our capitalist world.

I liked some of the Soviet leaders I met – Khruschev and Kosygin for example - and their genuine efforts to improve things. I even got to like Groymko, for whom I once had to make a labored dinner speech interpretation. He is sometimes written off as hardline. But to understand the mind, and integrity, of a very conservative Soviet leader I strongly recommend reading his biography.

Apart from anything else it could make our own hardliners realise just how their own rampantly bad behavior over the years has contributed to the growth of hardline attitudes on the other side. (I also suggest readers should look at a very moving account of how a very ordinary Russian I once met had also reacted to that misbehavior – see Quadrant magazine letter on my website entitled former Western brutality in Russia.)

I also developed a deep sympathy for the wartime sufferings of the Russian people, and disgust for the way we in the West had managed almost completely to ignore not just those sufferings but also Moscow’s desire for a foreign policy that made sure they never happened again.

If the Khruschev liberalisation had been allowed to continue, it is likely Russia would have evolved within a generation into a reasonably free society practicing Scandinavian-style socialism. But as we know, the hawks on both sides made sure that did not happen.

Here, on the other hand, is Clark describing at first hand the nature of “KGB attentions
Few outsiders can appreciate the strain involved once the KGB types decide to turn the screws on you. It is as if the entire population in tightly-controlled society has conspired to trap you. You have no escape. Everything you do is monitored. Meanwhile you have to carry on as if everything around you was normal.

Finally, it all came to a head. On a freezingly dark night of December 1964, in the grubby industrial town of Podolsk on the outskirts of Moscow, the trap had been set. My good friend, Volodya Nikitin, was the bait .

The Trap

I had met Volodya a year or so earlier, on one of my student restaurant excursions. He and his charming wife, Yelena, were sitting at one of the tables I had been made to share. From the start it was obvious he could not be a KGB plant. Apart from anything else the KGB had no idea that I was even dining out that night, let alone the restaurant I would visit.

Volodya had an attractively direct and proletarian kind of openness. Yelena was classy but warm. We took an immediate liking to each other..

Like most of the students I met, they were reasonably patriotic. But they were happy also to talk about faults in the system, and their hopes that things would get better. After the usual rounds of vodka toasts, we agreed to meet again. He was studying metallurgy. She was studying politics.

At the next dinner party, I followed Embassy regulations and made sure I was accompanied. I took J, a rather demure English girl working as a nanny for the Australian embassy ambassador and who had come to Moscow to improve her Russian. . She shared my liking for the Russian people and we had already had become close friends. For well over a year the four of us would meet occasionally for dinner and conversation. We enjoyed each others’ company, very much.

I once quizzed him on 1956 Hungarian events. "Those swine (svolochii),’ he said. It turned out that a friend of his had had his eyes gouged out by Hungarian revolutionaries.

How often in our Cold War disputes do we fret over abuses by the other side without even bothering to ask how and why the other side might have been provoked into such abusive behavior? Volodya was as situation insensitive as the rest of us.

I realised the KGB would not be ignoring our dinner parties. I even discussed it with Volodya. But since it was obvious we were simply people who liked to eat and drink with each other, and that neither he or his wife had any access to anything that even looked like a secret, we assumed we would all be safe.

True, with the fall of Khruschev in October 1964 we knew that the hawks and their KGB friends were back in control (courtesy of the US hawks who had done everything — Bay of Pigs, Cuban crises, U 2 flights etc - to derail Khruschev’s honest efforts to gain détente with the West and to end the Cold War). But by this time I had also discovered that Yelena was the daughter of a highly placed general in the Ukraine. That would be a kind of insurance against arbitrary KGB stunts, or so I thought.

Some time around the end of 1964 Volodya began acting strangely. He rang, wanting urgently to meet me over dinner. He knew that J. had gone back to England. We met, and this time Yelena was not with him.

But I had gone out of my way to take a woman I knew at the British Embassy with me so that I would be covered. It was clear Volodya was rather disconcerted by the unexpected presence of the woman, and after some talk about the problems he was having finding a job after graduating from university, we parted. There was something very unnatural about the meeting. I suspected already that the KGB had put him up to it.

Later the British woman pestered me with demands from her Embassy to find out who Volodya was. I knew the Brits were highly security conscious; they were up to their necks in a host of other anti-Soviet plots, including Penkovsky. But I did not like the implication that I might be trying to lead the woman into a trap.

Soon after I had another call from Volodya. This time he wanted to meet me in Podolsk where some friends were having a party. And this time his voice sounded even more unnatural than usual. I was certain that something was afoot.

I faced a dilemma. If I went I would be leaving myself open to KGB attentions. But if Volodya was acting under KGB pressure and I did not go, he would be blamed. His future career would be jeopardized, and it would be through my fault rather than his since it was I who initially had put him in this situation of danger.

I decided I would go to the station, hear what he had to say, and return promptly to Moscow, taking every anti-KGB precaution. That way he would be covered, since he would have delivered the goods even if they had not been seized. And hopefully I would see an end to KGB attentions.

The moment I met Volodya at the station it was clear that something was indeed afoot. With unnatural enthusiasm and in a high voice he urged me to go with him to the party. But first, he said, we should go to the station toilet. Then in a low voice, he suddenly turned on me — tyi moi vrag, you are my enemy. He was trying to warn me of a KGB trap.

What to do? I had assumed that the KGB plan was to wait till I got to the party before moving in on us. But already I had sensed we were being closely watched by thugs planted around the station premises. If I about-turned and tried to catch a train back to Moscow, it was very possible the thugs would move in on both of us, and push secret documents into his hands - a favorite KGB trick. They would then claim that I had come to this unlikely place to receive the documents.

As well, they would suspect that Volodya had done something to warn me, and he would still be in trouble. So I decided to pretend to accept an invitation to leave the station with him, and at some point enroute to the alleged party find an excuse to do a sudden about-turn, leaving the thugs too disorganised for a simultaneous move in on both of us and allowing Volodya to walk off into the darkness.

The strategy worked. But on the train back to Moscow I was shaking badly.
(via Marius)

Wednesday, May 18, 2005

 

A Tragicomedy

At México desde fuera, with the autobiographical reflection characteristic of this blog, a critical analysis of President Vicente Fox's recent public blunder in the field of U.S.-Mexico relations. The blog considers that not only did Fox commit a serious error - he also missed a valuable opportunity of explaining to the U.S. public the real nature of the problems that confront Mexican migrants to the United States, and of setting those problems in the context of the problems that confront the economy of the U.S., and its national security:
El problema de fondo de la declaración de Fox, la razón por la que es racista, es porque se centra justamente en ese criterio, el del color de la piel, para distinguir, para señalar. No sólo eso, es profundamente ignorante, porque los mexicanos no sólo hacen los trabajos que no quieren hacer los negros, sino los trabajos que muchos otros grupos étnicos no quieren hacer. El problema del presidente, más allá de la pobreza de su equipo de trabajo que lo manda desprotegido (a sabiendas de sus dislates y disparates) a hablar del tema sin contar con elementos suficientes para saber que la delcaración obviamente iba a generar una reacción así y, sobre todo, que iba a ser utilizada para golpear al gobierno de México y, sobre todo, a los trabajadores que Fox trataba de defender.

Fox podría haber llamado la atención sobre los problemas que enfrentan los mexicanos aquí de muchas maneras. Esa misma frase con otros identificadores (los mexicanos hacen los trabajos que ... otros no desean hacer; ... ni siquiera los más pobres desean hacer), hubiera logrado un mayor efecto y hubiera tenido una recepción completamente distinta allá y aquí. El problema, sin embargo, es el de la improvisación que ha caracterizado a la gestión de Fox.


 

Collodi War

An AP report gives an account of a new campaign launched by a Polish magazine, which has urged its readers to send Russian President Putin "a picture postcard depicting him as the long-nosed lying fairy tale character Pinocchio for presenting a 'Stalinist version of history'":
The Wprost weekly campaign comes amid a rise of anti-Russian sentiment in Poland, which was most recently stoked by Putin's speech May 9 in Red Square marking the end of the Second World War in Europe, in which he failed to condemn the 1939 Soviet invasion of Poland as many had hoped.

In response, this week's issue of the magazine comes with a pre-addressed postcard that reads "With greetings for Putinocchio" above the computer-generated image.

On the other side, a brief text in Polish and Russian asks Putin to apologize for failing to condemn the 1939 secret Nazi-Soviet pact, which set the stage for the Second World War.

The card also said Poles felt humiliated that Putin thanked the Italian and German anti-fascist resistance but failed to mention the Polish sacrifice.


(via Marius)

Tuesday, May 17, 2005

 

Andijan and After

As the crisis in Uzbekistan is still unfolding, it’s probably too soon for anyone to make a clear judgment of precisely what has taken place in Andijan, and why. It is, however, certain that there has been large-scale loss of civilian life, and that this was the direct result of Uzbek government decisions – in particular, those of President Islam Karimov.

The outrage this atrocity has caused in the Western media and in Western public opinion can be compared to the outrage felt in the West at the atrocity in Beslan. In both cases, the sheer scale of the brutality served to bring the situation into the spotlight, and to reinforce the notion that the bloody events were part of the international “war on terror”. Just as at Beslan the blame for the bloodshed was placed by the Russian authorities on “Islamic extremists”, so at Andijan it is “Islamic fundamentalists” who are being blamed for provoking the violence.

It could be salutary to observe one or two points which may have an additional bearing on the events in Uzbekistan.

1) The uprising took place in the immediate aftermath of the May 9 commemoration in Moscow, when President Putin drew a comparison between Nazism and Islamic extremism, and by implication equated his government’s bloody intervention in Chechnya with the U.S. and Western campaign in Iraq.

2) At the same time, and almost in the same breath, Putin launched a fierce verbal assault on the Baltic States, producing an extraordinary and disturbing version of European history according to which in 1939 Germany “returned” the Baltic “territories” to the Soviet Union, and those “territories” became a part of it.

3) As a recent IWPR report points out, American engagement with the Central Asian states – key allies in the "war on terror" - is being misrepresented and exploited by regional governments, whose actions are fuelling instability in the region:

Authoritarian leaders especially in Uzbekistan, the main player, continue to ignore pleas for change in their human rights practices. They are misreading – sometimes wilfully – the signals sent by the United States that political reform is important, too, and continuing in the belief that as valued partners they can do pretty much as they like.
4) After Andijan, President Bush is trapped. As Angela Charlton, writing for RIA-Novosti, makes clear:

Karimov blames the latest violence on a group associated with the Islamist Hizb-ut-Tahrir, which the CIA has been tracking and worrying about for years. Bush will look soft on terrorism if he dismisses this charge lightly. But he has staked so much of his foreign policy on spreading "liberty" that he can't ignore the protesters' claims that they're fighting for justice and rule of law, not for Islamic fundamentalists.


Monday, May 16, 2005

 

Back

I'm back from vacation, but it's going to take a day or two before normal posting resumes here.

For the time being, however, here's some candid discussion of Putin's May 9 performance by Jamestown Foundation analyst Vladimir Socor - I read this while on holiday, and it is certainly food for thought:

From the standpoint of Russia-West relations, perhaps the most consequential aspect of the May 9 anniversary celebrations in Moscow was the Kremlin's verbal assault on the Baltic states, amid complete and even complacent silence on the part of the European Union, NATO allies, and the United States. For the first time since Russian President Vladimir Putin came to power, the Kremlin boldly tested allied solidarity -- and found it wanting.

Putin made calculated use of insult and vulgarity in this exercise. Russia is ready to sign border agreements with Latvia and Estonia, he said, "provided they do not involve stupid (duratskiye) territorial demands." Falsely accusing Latvia's government of demanding the retrocession of the Abrene/Pytalovo district, Putin called on "Latvian politicians to stop engaging in demagoguery." He then opined, "Estonia's leadership took the wrong decision in not attending the [Moscow] celebrations."

Answering a female Estonian journalist who asked her question in Russian, Putin mockingly imitated her Estonian accent, then put on a show of anger: "What else are we supposed to do, maybe condemn the Ribbentrop-Molotov pact every year? We consider this topic closed, and will not return to it. We [condemned] it once, and that was enough."

Putin then proceeded to give a breathtaking version of Russia-Baltic relations: Under the Brest-Litovsk treaty in 1918, he said, "Russia turned over some of its territories to Germany," including the territories of what became the Baltic states. "In 1939, Germany returned them to us, and these territories joined (voshli v sostav) the Soviet Union." Consequently, "in 1941 [sic] we could not possibly have occupied them, inasmuch as they were already a part of the USSR." "Whether this was good or bad, such was history. It was a secret deal, the small states being a currency of exchange. Such were the realities of life, regrettably," Putin concluded, though not before citing "Europe's past colonial policies" and slavery in America (Russian TV Channel One, Interfax, May 9, 10).

Putin's version implies that the Baltic states were never independent countries, but mere territories passing from hand to hand, and that they "joined" the USSR by consent. More broadly, it demonstrates a completely value-free approach to issues of crime of aggression, war crimes, and Soviet totalitarianism. While also displaying ignorance of history, Putin's version is partly informed by the Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs statement of May 5, which similarly claimed that the Soviet Union could not possibly have occupied what it already possessed (Interfax, May 5).

The whole article is here.

I'll be coming back to this subject, and will also be looking at its relation to current "CIS"-related topics, including Uzbekistan.

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